Elche vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Result
4:0
21/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDSports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.400.92
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1818
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
79% (274/346)82% (326/399)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.400.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.910.83
Total shots
1818
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
168
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
79% (274/346)82% (326/399)
Long passes
43% (26/60)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
72% (83/116)70% (81/116)
Crosses
57% (8/14)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.601.04
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
1511
Tackles
38% (5/13)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5041
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
82
xGOT faced
0.833.91
Goals prevented
0.83-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Fort H. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
  • 12', Fort H. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
  • 22', Mendy N. 🟨,
  • 33', Balliu I. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 57', Lopez U. 🟨,
  • 60', Valentin O. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Bigas P. (A),
  • 70', 3 - 0, Valera G. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
  • 75', Mendy N. ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
  • 75', Pacha ↓, Vertrouwd J. ↑,
  • 75', Lopez U. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
  • 79', Febas A. 🟨,
  • 80', Rodriguez A. ↓, Santiago Y. ↑,
  • 80', Aguado M. ↓, Josan ↑,
  • 81', Bigas P. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
  • 82', Lejeune F. 🟨,
  • 84', Josan 🟨,
  • 89', Mir R. ↓, Boayar A. ↑,
  • 90+1', 4 - 0, Neto M. ⚽, Josan (A),

Chances of winning


Elche
38.1%		Draw
32.2%		Rayo Vallecano
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28.9% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 29.5% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
    •

    Elche - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.51 ↑
    (2.45)    		 2.98 ↓
    (3.29)    		 3.21 ↑
    (2.94)    		 4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Elche - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 5 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 42.2% – 72.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Elche (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Elche (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Rayo Vallecano (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Rayo Vallecano (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Rayo Vallecano (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Elche (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 2.
    • In recent matches, Elche has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rayo Vallecano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Elche has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Elche: Andre Silva (Injury) Diangana G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (International duty) Mendez D. (Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (International duty) Ratiu A. (Yellow Cards) de Frutos J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Alemao (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Elche won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    03.10.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Elche 2:1
    Latest results of Elche
    16.12.2025 Eibar - Elche 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Mallorca - Elche 3:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Elche - Girona 3:0 ✺
    03.12.2025 Quintanar del Rey - Elche 1:2 ✺
    28.11.2025 Getafe - Elche 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    18.12.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Drita Gjilan 3:0 ✺
    15.12.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Betis 0:0 ✺
    11.12.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Rayo Vallecano 1:2 ✺
    07.12.2025 Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺
    04.12.2025 Real Ávila - Rayo Vallecano 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 29241478:285073
    2Real Madrid29223463:263769
    3Villarreal29184754:342058
    4Atl. Madrid29176649:282157
    5Betis291111744:37744
    6Celta Vigo291011841:35641
    7Real Sociedad291081144:45-138
    8Getafe291151325:31-638
    9Ath Bilbao291151332:41-938
    10Osasuna291071234:35-137
    11Espanyol291071236:44-837
    12Valencia29981232:42-1035
    13Girona298101131:44-1334
    14Rayo Vallecano297111128:35-732
    15Sevilla29871437:49-1231
    16Alaves29871430:41-1131
    17Elche296111238:46-829
    18Mallorca29771534:47-1328
    19Levante29681534:48-1426
    20Oviedo29491620:48-2821

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy