Rayo Vallecano vs Elche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 30
  • Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match! Premier, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15, SCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.370.44
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
54
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
94
Passes
85% (348/410)73% (209/285)
Yellow cards
04
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.370.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.120.49
Total shots
219
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
103
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free kicks
917
Passes
85% (348/410)73% (209/285)
Long passes
64% (29/45)42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
75% (111/148)62% (68/109)
Crosses
31% (9/29)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.38
Throw ins
1625
Fouls
179
Tackles
75% (15/20)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5258
Clearances
2836
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
0.491.12
Goals prevented
0.490.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Bigas P. 🟨,
  • 39', Bigas P. 🟨,
  • 45', Mir R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mir R. , Pedrosa A. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 66', Valentin O. , Nteka R. ,
  • 66', Palazon I. , Diaz P. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Nteka R. , Garcia A. (A),
  • 77', Rodriguez A. , Andre Silva ,
  • 77', Aguado M. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 77', Febas A. , Villar G. ,
  • 83', Buba Sangare , Santiago Y. ,
  • 83', Alemao , Camello S. ,
  • 84', Garcia A. , Pacha ,
  • 90+3', de Frutos J. , Martin C. ,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
55%
Draw
25.2%
Elche
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.5% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 26.5% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - Elche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.8)
    3.79
    (3.58)
    4.87
    (4.58)
    4.3%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Elche?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Elche will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 63.2%91%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Rayo Vallecano (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Rayo Vallecano (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rayo Vallecano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Elche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Yellow Cards) Mendez D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Elche: Boayar A. (Injury) Chust V. (Injury) Diangana G. (Injury) Donald J. (Muscle Injury) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Mendy N. (Injury) Perez F. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Elche were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Elche - Rayo Vallecano 4:0
    03.10.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Elche 2:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Elche
    27.03.2026 Aston Villa - Elche 1:2
    21.03.2026 Elche - Mallorca 2:1
    14.03.2026 Real Madrid - Elche 4:1
    08.03.2026 Villarreal - Elche 2:1
    01.03.2026 Elche - Espanyol 2:2
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 31261484:305479
    2Real Madrid31224565:293670
    3Villarreal31194856:362061
    4Atl. Madrid31176851:321957
    5Betis311113745:38746
    6Celta Vigo311111944:40444
    7Real Sociedad311191149:48142
    8Getafe301251327:31-441
    9Osasuna311091237:38-139
    10Espanyol311081337:48-1138
    11Ath Bilbao311151533:45-1238
    12Girona319111133:45-1238
    13Rayo Vallecano318111229:38-935
    14Valencia31981434:46-1235
    15Mallorca31971539:48-934
    16Sevilla31971539:51-1234
    17Alaves31891435:46-1133
    18Elche317111339:47-832
    19Oviedo31691624:48-2427
    20Levante30681634:50-1626

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )