Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/03/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 27
Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN 1, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	CCTV-5, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, Setanta Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	Daystar Pacific, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.60	1.02
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Goal Attempts
10	20
Shots on Goal
5	6
Shots off Goal
3	8
Blocked Shots
2	6
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Shots inside the Box
9	12
Shots outside the Box
1	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
Free Kicks
17	12
Offsides
3	1
Fouls
12	17
Yellow Cards
3	1
Throw-ins
8	16
Touches in the Opposition Box
30	17
Passes
88% (409/464)	90% (490/542)
Passes in the final third
75% (81/108)	78% (83/107)
Crosses
38% (3/8)	28% (5/18)
Tackles
37% (7/19)	56% (9/16)
Clearances Total
9	7
Interceptions
14	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Modric L. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Diaz P. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Gumbau G. 🟨,
68', Rodrygo ↓, Valverde F. ↑,
70', Diaz P. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
70', Embarba A. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
70', Gumbau G. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
78', Mbappe K. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
79', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
85', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
85', Ciss P. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
85', Pacha ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
86', Bellingham J. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
90+2', Modric L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
74.6%

Draw
16.2%

Rayo Vallecano
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.1%

15.9%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	6.01 ↓ (6.04)	10.49 ↑ (9.68)	3.6% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano?

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 51 - 89.5%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 3 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 81.5% – 97.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 1.
Real is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury) Montiel J. (Ankle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Hamstring Injury) Palazon I. (Ankle Injury) de Frutos J. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Real: Rudiger A. (Illness) Vallejo J. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: de Tomas R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
Our prediction for today's Real to win the game is with odds 1.3.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Real won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 45:17 (average 2.5:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Real won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:5 (average 3.4:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Rayo Vallecano?

Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Real Madrid?

Rayo Vallecano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:

14.12.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 3:3

18.02.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 1:1

05.11.2023 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 0:0

24.05.2023 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1

07.11.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 3:2

Latest results of Real Madrid

04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Betis - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Real Madrid - Girona 2:0 ✺

19.02.2025 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺

07.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid 1:0 ✺

31.01.2025 Leganés - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2