Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid
Result
0:0
09/11/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj TV, Solh Sports 1, Tolo TV
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanAzTV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 3, TSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaCCTV-5, iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22
worldWorldDaystar Pacific

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.81
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1321
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
84% (310/368)84% (375/445)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.151.14
Total shots
1321
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
810
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
611
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2141
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
717
Passes
84% (310/368)84% (375/445)
Long passes
40% (19/48)52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
73% (77/106)73% (99/135)
Crosses
13% (3/23)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.98
Throw-ins
2326
Fouls
177
Tackles
70% (14/20)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4259
Clearances
3022
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.140.15
Goals prevented
1.140.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Ratiu A. 🟨,
  • 27', Diaz P. , Pacha ,
  • 33', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 36', Huijsen D. 🟨,
  • 44', Diaz B. 🟨,
  • 45+3', de Frutos J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Huijsen D. , Eder Militao ,
  • 71', Palazon I. , Perez F. ,
  • 71', de Frutos J. , Valentin O. ,
  • 71', Diaz B. , Ceballos D. ,
  • 79', Camavinga E. , Rodrygo ,
  • 83', Garcia A. , Alemao ,
  • 83', Valverde F. , Alexander-Arnold T. ,
  • 83', Lopez U. , Gumbau G. ,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
16.1%
Draw
20.4%
Real Madrid
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 20.2% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9% 19.7% 65%

Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
6.08
(5.83)
4.69
(4.72)
1.51
(1.5)
4.1%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 5 - 5%). Real will win (votes: 89 - 88.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 81.8%94.4%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).
    • AH +0.5 - Rayo Vallecano (2.69) (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Real (1.74) (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mendez D. (Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Mastantuono F. (Groin Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury) Tchouameni A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:47. (average 0.9:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    14.12.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 3:3
    18.02.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 1:1
    05.11.2023 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    24.05.2023 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.11.2025 Liverpool - Real Madrid 1:0
    01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0
    26.10.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:1
    22.10.2025 Real Madrid - Juventus 1:0
    19.10.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid12101126:101631
    2Barcelona1291232:151728
    3Villarreal1282224:101426
    4Atl. Madrid1274124:111325
    5Betis1255219:13620
    6Espanyol1253415:15018
    7Ath Bilbao1252512:13-117
    8Getafe1252512:14-217
    9Sevilla1251618:19-116
    10Alaves1243511:11015
    11Elche1236313:14-115
    12Rayo Vallecano1243512:14-215
    13Celta Vigo1227315:18-313
    14Real Sociedad1234514:17-313
    15Mallorca1233612:18-612
    16Osasuna123279:13-411
    17Valencia1224611:21-1010
    18Girona1224611:24-1310
    19Levante1223716:23-79
    20Oviedo122287:20-138

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2