Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano
Result
2:1
09/03/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 27
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.02
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1020
Shots on Goal
56
Shots off Goal
38
Blocked Shots
26
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
53
Free Kicks
1712
Offsides
31
Fouls
1217
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
816
Touches in the Opposition Box
3017
Passes
88% (409/464)90% (490/542)
Passes in the final third
75% (81/108)78% (83/107)
Crosses
38% (3/8)28% (5/18)
Tackles
37% (7/19)56% (9/16)
Clearances Total
97
Interceptions
143

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Modric L. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Diaz P. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Gumbau G. 🟨,
  • 68', Rodrygo ↓, Valverde F. ↑,
  • 70', Diaz P. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
  • 70', Embarba A. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
  • 70', Gumbau G. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
  • 78', Mbappe K. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 79', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 85', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 85', Ciss P. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
  • 85', Pacha ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
  • 86', Bellingham J. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Modric L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
74.6%		Draw
16.2%		Rayo Vallecano
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.1% 15.9% 9.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.29 ↓
    (1.3)    		 6.01 ↓
    (6.04)    		 10.49 ↑
    (9.68)    		 3.6%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 51 - 89.5%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 3 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 81.5% – 97.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 1.
    • Real is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury) Montiel J. (Ankle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Hamstring Injury) Palazon I. (Ankle Injury) de Frutos J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Real: Rudiger A. (Illness) Vallejo J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: de Tomas R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Our prediction for today's Real to win the game is with odds 1.3.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Real won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 45:17 (average 2.5:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:5 (average 3.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 3:3
    18.02.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 1:1
    05.11.2023 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    24.05.2023 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    07.11.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 3:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Betis - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Real Madrid - Girona 2:0 ✺
    19.02.2025 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺
    17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺
    07.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid 1:0 ✺
    31.01.2025 Leganés - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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