Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 14
Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.71
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
10	5
Passes
84% (372/441)	81% (284/350)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.24	0.45
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
10	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
10	5
Touches in opposition box
15	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
9	11
Passes
84% (372/441)	81% (284/350)
Long passes
58% (38/66)	55% (32/58)
Passes in final third
73% (82/112)	70% (90/129)
Crosses
16% (5/31)	8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	0.37
Throw-ins
28	27
Fouls
11	9
Tackles
67% (10/15)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
37	39
Clearances
26	44
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.45	1.24
Goals prevented
-0.55	0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Mendy N. ⚽, Gumbau G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Guerra J. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Lopez D. ⚽,
69', Lopez U. ↓, Alemao ↑,
69', Perez F. ↓, Pacha ↑,
71', Correia T. 🟨,
74', Rioja L. ↓, Ugrinic F. ↑,
74', Duro H. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
83', de Frutos J. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
83', Mendy N. ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
90+2', Pepelu ↓, Santamaria B. ↑,
90+2', Lopez D. ↓, Raba D. ↑,
90+3', Garcia A. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
90+6', Alemao 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
46.6%

Draw
29.2%

Valencia
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Vallecano's form might have worsened.

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Rayo Vallecano - Valencia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.76)	3.3 ↓ (3.81)	4.02 ↓ (4.51)	4% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Valencia?

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 40 - 71.4%). Valencia will win (votes: 6 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 59.6% – 83.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Valencia (votes: 3 - 13%). Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Valencia (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Valencia (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 16 - 64%). Valencia (votes: 5 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Rayo Vallecano might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Red Card) Diaz P. (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Palazon I. (Yellow Cards) Trejo O. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Valencia: Comert E. (Illness) Diakhaby M. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Nteka R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Valencia: Ramazani L. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Valencia?

Rayo Vallecano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Rayo Vallecano?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Valencia were as follows:

19.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1

07.12.2024 Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 0:1

12.05.2024 Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 0:0

19.12.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 0:1

03.04.2023 Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 1:1

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

27.11.2025 Slovan Bratislava - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano 0:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 0:0 ✺

06.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań 3:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Valencia

21.11.2025 Valencia - Levante 1:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Valencia - Betis 1:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0 ✺

28.10.2025 Maracena - Valencia 0:5 ✺

25.10.2025 Valencia - Villarreal 0:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	26	21	1	4	71:26	45	64
2	Real Madrid	26	19	3	4	54:22	32	60
3	Atl. Madrid	26	15	6	5	43:23	20	51
4	Villarreal	26	16	3	7	48:31	17	51
5	Betis	26	11	10	5	42:32	10	43
6	Celta Vigo	26	10	10	6	36:28	8	40
7	Espanyol	26	10	6	10	33:39	-6	36
8	Real Sociedad	26	9	8	9	38:38	0	35
9	Ath Bilbao	26	10	5	11	30:36	-6	35
10	Osasuna	26	9	6	11	30:30	0	33
11	Getafe	26	9	5	12	21:29	-8	32
12	Sevilla	26	8	6	12	34:41	-7	30
13	Girona	26	7	9	10	27:42	-15	30
14	Valencia	26	7	8	11	27:39	-12	29
15	Rayo Vallecano	25	6	9	10	23:32	-9	27
16	Alaves	26	7	6	13	23:34	-11	27
17	Elche	26	5	11	10	34:39	-5	26
18	Mallorca	26	6	6	14	29:42	-13	24
19	Levante	26	5	6	15	28:44	-16	21
20	Oviedo	25	3	8	14	16:40	-24	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2