Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

: LaLiga - Round 32
Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.52	1.94
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
83% (372/447)	78% (275/353)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52	1.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.18	1.07
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
3	8
Shots outside the Box
8	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
13	14
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
13	18
Passes
83% (372/447)	78% (275/353)
Long passes
53% (30/57)	46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
74% (112/151)	60% (52/87)
Crosses
6% (2/32)	50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.99
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
37% (7/19)	88% (15/17)
Duels won
46	48
Clearances Total
10	35
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.07	0.18
Goals prevented
0.07	0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Ciss P. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Tarrega C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Lejeune F. 🟨,
55', Rioja L. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
55', Duro H. ↓, Mir R. ↑,
66', Almeida A. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
66', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
71', Gumbau G. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
71', de Frutos J. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
74', Barrenechea E. ↓, Pepelu ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Sadiq U. ⚽,
82', Chavarria P. 🟨,
84', Nteka R. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
84', Valentin O. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
90', Sadiq U. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
39.9%

Draw
30.7%

Valencia
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.5%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Rayo Vallecano - Valencia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.41)	3.14 ↓ (3.16)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	3.8% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Valencia?

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Valencia will win (votes: 16 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 32.7% – 67.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Valencia (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 2.
Rayo Vallecano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Valencia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Valencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Valencia: Correia T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury)
There are questionable in Valencia: Ivan Jaime (Hamstring Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:29 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 0.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Valencia?

Rayo Vallecano has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Rayo Vallecano?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Valencia were as follows:

07.12.2024 Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 0:1

12.05.2024 Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 0:0

19.12.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 0:1

03.04.2023 Valencia - Rayo Vallecano 1:1

10.09.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 2:1

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

13.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 0:4 ✺

29.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 0:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Valencia

11.04.2025 Valencia - Sevilla 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Girona - Valencia 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Valencia - Valladolid 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Rayo Vallecano - Valencia?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+