Kigali vs Rayon Sports – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
05/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
rwandaRwandaMagic Sports TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Kigali
28.8%
Draw
31%
Rayon Sports
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 31.3% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 30.8% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Rayon Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayon Sports than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Kigali - Rayon Sports Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (3.07)
    2.93
    (2.9)
    2.25
    (2.32)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Kigali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rayon Sports has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kigali - Rayon Sports were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Rayon Sports - Kigali 0:2
    15.03.2025 Rayon Sports - Kigali 2:1
    14.12.2024 Kigali - Rayon Sports 1:3
    09.12.2023 Kigali - Rayon Sports 2:1
    12.03.2023 Kigali - Rayon Sports 1:1
    Latest results of Kigali
    09.01.2026 Kigali - Rutsiro 0:0
    03.01.2026 Etincelles - Kigali 0:1
    26.12.2025 Gasogi United - Kigali 1:1
    19.12.2025 Kigali - Bugesera 0:0
    Latest results of Rayon Sports
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman21143450:163445
    2APR22119230:171342
    3Al-Merreikh21118224:141041
    4Police22910320:11937
    5Rayon Sport22107527:24337
    6Mukura Victory Sports2297624:21334
    7Kiyovu2189421:12933
    8Musanze2296731:23833
    9Marines2184925:24128
    10Bugesera2167820:22-225
    11Gasogi United2267917:26-925
    12Gicumbi23671026:38-1225
    13AS Kigali2258915:21-623
    14Gorilla22571015:25-1022
    15Etincelles22310916:25-919
    16Rutsiro21461124:33-918
    17Amagaju2246129:27-1818
    18Muhanga21451213:28-1517

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