RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
10/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, Supersport Action
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 255
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 5
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 5
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, Discovery+ UK
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.362.08
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1719
Shots on Goal
68
Shots off Goal
68
Blocked Shots
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
57
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
Free Kicks
712
Offsides
32
Fouls
127
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
914
Touches in the Opposition Box
2430
Passes
85% (381/446)86% (435/508)
Passes in the final third
78% (76/97)76% (110/145)
Crosses
18% (2/11)33% (5/15)
Tackles
48% (11/23)60% (6/10)
Clearances Total
2311
Interceptions
1210

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, McGinn J. , Watkins O. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Openda L. , Seiwald N. (A),
  • 45', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Watkins O. , Duran J. ,
  • 46', Haidara A. , Kampl K. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Duran J. , Tielemans Y. (A),
  • 62', 2 - 2, Baumgartner C. , Openda L. (A),
  • 71', Cash M. , Nedeljkovic K. ,
  • 76', McGinn J. , Buendia E. ,
  • 76', Sesko B. , Andre Silva ,
  • 79', Diego Carlos 🟨,
  • 81', Henrichs B. 🟨,
  • 83', Tielemans Y. , Barkley R. ,
  • 83', Digne L. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 84', Vermeeren A. , Klostermann L. ,
  • 85', 2 - 3, Barkley R. ,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
31.5%
Draw
28.7%
Aston Villa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 26.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 27.4% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • RB Leipzig - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.59)
    3.36
    (3.59)
    2.43
    (2.64)
    3.5%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 29 - 49.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 13 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 28.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 36.4%62%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Aston Villa have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Elmas E. (Muscle Injury) Lukeba C. (Yellow Cards) Ouedraogo A. (Muscle Injury) Poulsen Y. (Hip Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Ramsey J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Aston Villa were as follows:
    31.07.2024 RB Leipzig - Aston Villa 2:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    07.12.2024 Aston Villa - Southampton 1:0
    04.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:1
    01.12.2024 Chelsea - Aston Villa 3:0
    27.11.2024 Aston Villa - Juventus 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2