RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:5
17/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.464.63
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
412
Big chances
68
Corner kicks
59
Passes
82% (354/433)88% (532/608)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.464.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.834.66
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
412
Shots off target
81
Blocked shots
56
Shots inside the box
1416
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
68
Corner kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
3437
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
02
Free kicks
67
Passes
82% (354/433)88% (532/608)
Long passes
41% (20/49)53% (27/51)
Passes in final third
63% (53/84)75% (104/139)
Crosses
36% (4/11)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.762.59
Throw ins
2016
Fouls
76
Tackles
38% (5/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3637
Clearances
2821
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
73
xGOT faced
4.661.83
Goals prevented
-0.340.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Romulo Cardoso ⚽, Raum D. (A),
  • 29', Seiwald N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 5)
  • 46', Goretzka L. ↓, Kimmich J. ↑,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Gnabry S. ⚽, Upamecano D. (A),
  • 57', Karl L. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
  • 81', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
  • 81', Seiwald N. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
  • 81', Bischof T. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
  • 83', 1 - 3, Tah J. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
  • 85', Baumgartner C. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
  • 85', 1 - 4, Pavlovic A. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
  • 87', Gnabry S. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
  • 87', Ito H. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 5, Olise M. ⚽, Musiala J. (A),
  • 90', Nusa A. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
20.5%		Draw
20.4%		Bayern Munich
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17% 18% 64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 17.5% 66.7%

RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.7 ↓
(5.6)		 4.66 ↓
(5.3)		 1.62 ↑
(1.47)		 4.6%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 10 - 23.8%). Bayern will win (votes: 22 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 37.3% – 67.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 30%). Bayern (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - RB Leipzig (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +1 - RB Leipzig (1.72) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Bayern (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Bayern (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Bayern (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Bayern (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Bayern (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 0.
    • RB Leipzig has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bayern is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Bayern is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Jackson N. (International duty) Laimer K. (Calf Injury) Stanisic J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J. (Calf Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Klostermann L. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Boey S. (Illness) Davies A. (Illness) Kimmich J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:44. (average 1.3:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0
    03.05.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 3:3
    20.12.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 5:1
    24.02.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 2:1
    30.09.2023 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 2:2
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    14.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 2:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺
    12.12.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0 ✺
    02.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Magdeburg 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    14.01.2026 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    11.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg 8:1 ✺
    06.01.2026 Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich 0:5
    21.12.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    14.12.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich18162071:145750
    2Dortmund18116135:171839
    3Hoffenheim17103435:211433
    4Stuttgart18103533:26733
    5RB Leipzig17102533:24932
    6Bayer Leverkusen1792634:25929
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1876538:39-127
    8Freiburg1866629:31-224
    9Union Berlin1866624:27-324
    10FC Koln1855827:30-320
    11B. Monchengladbach1855823:29-620
    12Wolfsburg1854927:38-1119
    13Werder Bremen1746721:34-1318
    14Hamburger SV1745817:27-1017
    15Augsburg18441020:35-1516
    16Heidenheim18341117:39-2213
    17Mainz18261018:31-1312
    18St. Pauli17331116:31-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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