Result
3:3
03/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 32
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Angola | Z Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2 |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Brazil | SporTV |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, RCTI+, Vidio |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 4 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, PPTV Sports |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.90 | 1.56 |
Ball Possession |
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38% | 62% |
Total shots |
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8 | 20 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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5 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 7 |
Passes |
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76% (275/363) | 86% (515/601) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.90 | 1.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.33 | 2.52 |
Total shots |
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8 | 20 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
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4 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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5 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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14 | 36 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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6 | 9 |
Passes |
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76% (275/363) | 86% (515/601) |
Long passes |
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42% (23/55) | 64% (38/59) |
Passes in final third |
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60% (55/91) | 76% (135/178) |
Crosses |
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0% (0/7) | 40% (6/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.62 | 1.99 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 17 |
Fouls |
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9 | 6 |
Tackles |
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76% (13/17) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
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40 | 47 |
Clearances |
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27 | 27 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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2 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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2.52 | 2.33 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.48 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Simons X. (A),
- 39', 2 - 0, Klostermann L. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', Raum D. 🟨,
- 61', Muller T. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
- 61', Boey S. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Dier E. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
- 63', 2 - 2, Olise M. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
- 69', Sesko B. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 70', Haidara A. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
- 74', Dier E. 🟨,
- 78', Kampl K. 🟨,
- 78', Kampl K. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Sane L. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
- 86', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
- 86', Openda L. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
- 88', Gnabry S. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
- 90', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Simons X. (A),
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig 21.3% | Draw 20.8% | Bayern Munich 58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.48 ↓ (4.81) |
4.63 ↓ (4.65) |
1.67 ↑ (1.62) |
3.8% (3.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 9 - 20%). Bayern will win (votes: 27 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 45.7% – 74.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 50%). Bayern (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Bayern is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E.
(Red Card)
Gulacsi P.
(Concussion)
Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Orban W.
(Muscle Injury)
Schlager X.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Davies A.
(Knee Injury)
Guerreiro R.
(Groin Injury)
Ito H.
(Foot Injury)
Kane H.
(Yellow Cards)
Musiala J.
(Muscle Injury)
Upamecano D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayern: Kim Min-Jae
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Neuer M.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:42. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1.4:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Bayern Munich?
RB Leipzig has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against RB Leipzig?
Bayern Munich has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich were as follows:
20.12.2024
Bayern Munich
-
RB Leipzig
5:1
24.02.2024
Bayern Munich
-
RB Leipzig
2:1
30.09.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Bayern Munich
2:2
12.08.2023
Bayern Munich
-
RB Leipzig
0:3
20.05.2023
Bayern Munich
-
RB Leipzig
1:3
Latest results of RB Leipzig
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga