RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich
Result
3:3
03/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
brazilBrazilSporTV
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
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finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
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romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
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sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
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south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
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uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.56
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
820
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
76% (275/363)86% (515/601)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.332.52
Total shots
820
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
414
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1436
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
69
Passes
76% (275/363)86% (515/601)
Long passes
42% (23/55)64% (38/59)
Passes in final third
60% (55/91)76% (135/178)
Crosses
0% (0/7)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.99
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
96
Tackles
76% (13/17)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4047
Clearances
2727
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
12
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.522.33
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Sesko B. , Simons X. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Klostermann L. , Raum D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 50', Raum D. 🟨,
  • 61', Muller T. , Coman K. ,
  • 61', Boey S. , Goretzka L. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Dier E. , Olise M. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 2, Olise M. , Gnabry S. (A),
  • 69', Sesko B. , Poulsen Y. ,
  • 70', Haidara A. , Vermeeren A. ,
  • 74', Dier E. 🟨,
  • 78', Kampl K. 🟨,
  • 78', Kampl K. , Baku R. ,
  • 83', 2 - 3, Sane L. , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 86', Nedeljkovic K. , Geertruida L. ,
  • 86', Openda L. , Nusa A. ,
  • 88', Gnabry S. , Palhinha J. ,
  • 90', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Poulsen Y. , Simons X. (A),

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
21.3%
Draw
20.8%
Bayern Munich
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 20.7% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 20.3% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.48
    (4.81)
    4.63
    (4.65)
    1.67
    (1.62)
    3.8%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 9 - 20%). Bayern will win (votes: 27 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 45.7%74.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 50%). Bayern (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Bayern is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Red Card) Gulacsi P. (Concussion) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Orban W. (Muscle Injury) Schlager X. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Guerreiro R. (Groin Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Kane H. (Yellow Cards) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Kim Min-Jae (Achilles Tendon Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:42. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1.4:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 5:1
    24.02.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 2:1
    30.09.2023 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 2:2
    12.08.2023 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 0:3
    20.05.2023 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 1:3
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    19.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3
    05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    02.04.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 3:1
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga