Result
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Borussia Dortmund 56.1% | Draw 21.3% | RB Leipzig 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.73) |
4.52 ↑ (4.45) |
4.25 ↑ (4) |
4% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1.
- Borussia D has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- RB Leipzig is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
- We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:35. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against RB Leipzig?
Borussia Dortmund has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Borussia Dortmund?
RB Leipzig has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig were as follows:
15.03.2025
RB Leipzig
-
Borussia Dortmund
2:0
02.11.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
RB Leipzig
2:1
27.04.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Borussia Dortmund
4:1
09.12.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
RB Leipzig
2:3
05.04.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Borussia Dortmund
2:0
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
7 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Pauli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
14 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga