Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalySky Sport 258
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport+
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.05
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
85% (420/496)85% (423/496)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.421.23
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
85% (420/496)85% (423/496)
Long passes
52% (24/46)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
69% (98/143)70% (59/84)
Crosses
14% (3/22)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.79
Throw-ins
2113
Fouls
1314
Tackles
56% (9/16)46% (12/26)
Duels won
4762
Clearances
2737
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.231.42
Goals prevented
0.230.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
  • 7', 0 - 1, Baumgartner C. , Ouedraogo A. (A),
  • 21', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Couto Y. , Guirassy S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Baku R. 🟨,
  • 60', Couto Y. , Ryerson J. ,
  • 67', Ouedraogo A. , Banzuzi E. ,
  • 68', Nusa A. , Diomande Y. ,
  • 70', Nmecha F. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 70', Adeyemi K. , Brandt J. ,
  • 80', Beier M. , Gross P. ,
  • 80', Guirassy S. , Silva F. ,
  • 86', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
  • 89', Bakayoko J. , Harder C. ,
  • 90+3', Romulo Cardoso , Maksimovic A. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
55.8%
Draw
21.5%
RB Leipzig
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 21.4% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 21% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.73)
    4.44
    (4.45)
    4.24
    (4)
    3.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 65%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 50.2%79.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1.
    • Borussia D is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • RB Leipzig is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Campbell C. (International duty) Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Finkgrafe M. (Knee Injury) Haidara A. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Illness) Nedeljkovic K. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Calf Injury) Werner T. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:35. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    15.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0
    02.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:1
    27.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 4:1
    09.12.2023 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:3
    05.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1
    30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0
    22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich770027:42321
    2RB Leipzig751110:9116
    3Stuttgart750211:6515
    4Dortmund742113:6714
    5Bayer Leverkusen742116:11514
    6FC Koln732212:10211
    7Eintracht Frankfurt731319:18110
    8Hoffenheim731312:12010
    9Union Berlin731311:14-310
    10Freiburg723211:1109
    11Hamburger SV72237:10-38
    12Werder Bremen722311:16-58
    13Augsburg721412:14-27
    14St. Pauli72148:12-47
    15Wolfsburg71248:13-55
    16Mainz71158:14-64
    17Heidenheim71156:13-74
    18B. Monchengladbach70346:15-93

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga