RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:2
21/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SABC Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.811.39
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
35
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
62
Passes
84% (378/452)76% (279/365)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.811.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.13
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
72
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
1310
Shots outside the box
11
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3925
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
04
Free kicks
1711
Passes
84% (378/452)76% (279/365)
Long passes
44% (24/54)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
69% (66/96)58% (62/107)
Crosses
35% (6/17)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
3.051.56
Throw ins
1424
Fouls
1117
Tackles
54% (7/13)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5551
Clearances
3530
Interceptions
132
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.131.57
Goals prevented
0.13-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
  • 30', Romulo Cardoso 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
  • 41', Lukeba C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Romulo Cardoso (Own goal),
  • 54', Reggiani L. 🟨,
  • 64', Beier M. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
  • 64', Nmecha F. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 65', Reggiani L. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
  • 65', Schlager X. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
  • 69', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 72', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
  • 76', Sabitzer M. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
  • 78', Silva F. 🟨,
  • 81', Gruda B. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
  • 81', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
  • 82', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Raum D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Diomande Y. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Silva F. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
46.1%		Draw
24.2%		Borussia Dortmund
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 24.5% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.8% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
    •

    RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.09 ↓
    (2.25)    		 3.96 ↑
    (3.88)    		 3.18 ↑
    (2.87)    		 4.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 28 - 45.9%). Borussia D will win (votes: 20 - 32.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 33.4% – 58.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Borussia D (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Borussia D (1.73) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Borussia D (2.02) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - RB Leipzig (1.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Borussia D (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - RB Leipzig (1.35) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Borussia D (3.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Borussia D (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3.
    • Recent performances by RB Leipzig have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Borussia D is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Borussia D has had a series of home games.
    • RB Leipzig will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Gulacsi P. (Knee Injury) Nedeljkovic K. (Back Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Sani S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Muscle Injury) Sule N. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:34. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 1:1
    15.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0
    02.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:1
    27.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 4:1
    09.12.2023 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:3
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    15.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺
    11.02.2026 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 2:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺
    31.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2 ✺
    27.01.2026 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    17.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta 2:0 ✺
    13.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim 3:2 ✺
    28.01.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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