Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
56.1%
Draw
21.3%
RB Leipzig
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 21.4% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 21% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.73)
    4.52
    (4.45)
    4.25
    (4)
    4%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1.
    • Borussia D has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • RB Leipzig is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:35. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    15.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0
    02.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:1
    27.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 4:1
    09.12.2023 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:3
    05.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1
    30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0
    22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich550022:31915
    2Dortmund541011:3813
    3RB Leipzig54017:7012
    4Eintracht Frankfurt530217:1349
    5Stuttgart53027:619
    6Bayer Leverkusen522110:828
    7FC Koln521210:917
    8Freiburg52129:907
    9St. Pauli52128:807
    10Hoffenheim52129:11-27
    11Union Berlin52128:11-37
    12Wolfsburg51227:705
    13Hamburger SV51222:8-65
    14Mainz51135:6-14
    15Werder Bremen51138:14-64
    16Augsburg51048:12-43
    17Heidenheim51044:10-63
    18B. Monchengladbach50235:12-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga