RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund
Result
2:0
15/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.783.11
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
1525
Shots on Goal
59
Shots off Goal
59
Blocked Shots
57
Big Chances
48
Corner Kicks
312
Shots inside the Box
920
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
23
Goalkeeper Saves
93
Free Kicks
1014
Offsides
31
Fouls
1410
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
1127
Touches in the Opposition Box
3661
Passes
69% (208/300)83% (492/591)
Passes in the final third
59% (62/105)75% (162/217)
Crosses
36% (5/14)29% (11/38)
Tackles
68% (13/19)55% (6/11)
Clearances Total
5023
Interceptions
117

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Can E. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Simons X. , Sesko B. (A),
  • 33', Sabitzer M. , Bensebaini R. ,
  • 45+1', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Openda L. , Simons X. (A),
  • 61', Baumgartner C. , Kampl K. ,
  • 63', Raum D. 🟨,
  • 67', Openda L. , Klostermann L. ,
  • 72', Ryerson J. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 72', Adeyemi K. , Gittens J. ,
  • 81', Raum D. , Lukeba C. ,
  • 81', Seiwald N. , Haidara A. ,
  • 82', Simons X. , Gomis T. ,
  • 83', Chukwuemeka C. 🟨,
  • 86', Haidara A. 🟨,
  • 87', Lukeba C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
35.8%
Draw
26.7%
Borussia Dortmund
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 26% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 26.8% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.52)
    3.61
    (3.7)
    2.58
    (2.68)
    3.8%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%). Borussia D will win (votes: 1 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 35.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 46.6%77.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 3.
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Borussia D is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Azhil A. (Thigh Injury) Campbell C. (Muscle Injury) Jessen N. (Muscle Injury) Lotka M. (Shoulder Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Svensson D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Poulsen Y. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 33:33 (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:1
    27.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 4:1
    09.12.2023 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:3
    05.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0
    03.03.2023 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    01.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2
    26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0
    23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2
    14.02.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga