Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

Bundesliga - Round 6
Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Sky Sport 258
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.05
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	7
Passes
85% (420/496)	85% (423/496)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.42	1.23
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	7
Touches in opposition box
25	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
85% (420/496)	85% (423/496)
Long passes
52% (24/46)	50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
69% (98/143)	70% (59/84)
Crosses
14% (3/22)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.61	0.79
Throw-ins
21	13
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
56% (9/16)	46% (12/26)
Duels won
47	62
Clearances
27	37
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.23	1.42
Goals prevented
0.23	0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Ouedraogo A. (A),
21', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Couto Y. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Baku R. 🟨,
60', Couto Y. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,
67', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
68', Nusa A. ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
70', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
70', Adeyemi K. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
80', Beier M. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
80', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
86', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
89', Bakayoko J. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
90+3', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Borussia Dortmund
55.8%

Draw
21.5%

RB Leipzig
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

21.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

21%

23.3%

Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.73)	4.44 ↓ (4.45)	4.24 ↑ (4)	3.8% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig?

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 65%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 50.2% – 79.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Borussia D (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Borussia D (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1.
Borussia D is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
RB Leipzig is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Campbell C. (International duty) Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Finkgrafe M. (Knee Injury) Haidara A. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Illness) Nedeljkovic K. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Calf Injury) Werner T. (Muscle Injury)
We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:35. (average 1.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against RB Leipzig?

Borussia Dortmund has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Borussia Dortmund?

RB Leipzig has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig were as follows:

15.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0

02.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:1

27.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 4:1

09.12.2023 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 2:3

05.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

01.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Mainz - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Juventus - Borussia Dortmund 4:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

Latest results of RB Leipzig

27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	18	16	2	0	71:14	57	50
2	Dortmund	18	11	6	1	35:17	18	39
3	Hoffenheim	17	10	3	4	35:21	14	33
4	Stuttgart	18	10	3	5	33:26	7	33
5	RB Leipzig	17	10	2	5	33:24	9	32
6	Bayer Leverkusen	17	9	2	6	34:25	9	29
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	18	7	6	5	38:39	-1	27
8	Freiburg	18	6	6	6	29:31	-2	24
9	Union Berlin	18	6	6	6	24:27	-3	24
10	FC Koln	18	5	5	8	27:30	-3	20
11	B. Monchengladbach	18	5	5	8	23:29	-6	20
12	Wolfsburg	18	5	4	9	27:38	-11	19
13	Werder Bremen	17	4	6	7	21:34	-13	18
14	Hamburger SV	17	4	5	8	17:27	-10	17
15	Augsburg	18	4	4	10	20:35	-15	16
16	Heidenheim	18	3	4	11	17:39	-22	13
17	Mainz	18	2	6	10	18:31	-13	12
18	St. Pauli	17	3	3	11	16:31	-15	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga