Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 5
- Referee: Wolf L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (157/251) | 81% (423/524) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (157/251) | 81% (423/524) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/60) | 43% (19/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (39/86) | 70% (83/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Guttenberger L. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Dudek N. ⚽, Norheim A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 1, Lein N. ⚽,
- 60', Krug V. ↓, Baum L. ↑,
- 60', Chmielinski G. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
- 62', Guttenberger L. ↓, Frohlich C. ↑,
- 70', Polaskova A. ↓, Mai F. ↑,
- 77', Pollak J. 🟨,
- 78', Schimmer M. ↓, Kadowaki M. ↑,
- 85', Miller L. 🟨,
- 89', Licina S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Pollak J. ↓, Svensson K. ↑,
- 90+4', Miller L. ↓, Mailbeck A. ↑,
- 90+5', Muller M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nürnberg
19.7% | Draw
25.2% | RB Leipzig
55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nürnberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nürnberg - RB Leipzig Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.72 ↑
(3.7) |
3.69 ↑
(3.15) |
1.68 ↓
(1.88) |
7.8%
(12%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Nürnberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, RB Leipzig is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against RB Leipzig?
Nürnberg has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Nürnberg?
RB Leipzig has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - RB Leipzig were as follows:
06.05.2024
Nürnberg
-
RB Leipzig
0:1
08.12.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Nürnberg
0:0
05.03.2023
Nürnberg
-
RB Leipzig
1:2
18.09.2022
RB Leipzig
-
Nürnberg
1:0
Latest results of Nürnberg
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wolfsburg W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:0 | 13 | 13 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Freiburg W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Union Berlin W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Koln W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Jena W | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
| 14 | SGS Essen W | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:17 | -16 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
