Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig
Result
2:3
11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
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colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
israelIsraelSport 1
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laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
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north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
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singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
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spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
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thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.33
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
81% (314/388)83% (379/457)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.782.32
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
167
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3123
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
81% (314/388)83% (379/457)
Long passes
55% (30/55)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
74% (107/145)77% (126/164)
Crosses
31% (11/35)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.770.93
Fouls
1413
Tackles
43% (6/14)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4456
Clearances Total
2832
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.321.78
Goals prevented
-0.68-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Openda L. , Baku R. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Simons X. , Vermeeren A. (A),
  • 34', Gerhardt Y. 🟨,
  • 36', Bitshiabu E. 🟨,
  • 36', Simons X. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 3, Simons X. , Baku R. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 3, Fischer K. , Kaminski J. (A),
  • 60', Fischer K. 🟨,
  • 71', Kaminski J. , Skov Olsen A. ,
  • 71', Vavro D. , Maehle J. ,
  • 71', Baku R. , Baumgartner C. ,
  • 71', Vermeeren A. , Kampl K. ,
  • 75', 2 - 3, Skov Olsen A. , Maehle J. (A),
  • 76', Openda L. 🟨,
  • 77', Openda L. , Poulsen Y. ,
  • 77', Nedeljkovic K. , Geertruida L. ,
  • 85', Simons X. , Haidara A. ,
  • 86', Wimmer P. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 86', Dardai B. , Tomas T. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/25hsf832

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
34.1%
Draw
26.3%
RB Leipzig
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 25.5% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 25.9% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.51)
    3.63
    (3.77)
    2.42
    (2.66)
    4.4%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 39.2%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 3.
    • Wolfsburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wolfsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Majer L. (Ankle Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Koulierakis K. (Injury) Vavro D. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:34 (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0
    30.11.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:5
    13.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 3:0
    25.11.2023 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:1
    31.10.2023 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 1:0
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0
    29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0
    08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1
    01.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 1:2
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga