RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
15/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
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belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, RedeTV!, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
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indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
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romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid, Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDaystar Pacific, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.620.62
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
103
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
62
Passes
88% (605/687)77% (255/330)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.620.62
xG on target (xGOT)
3.181.16
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
163
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
6211
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free kicks
106
Passes
88% (605/687)77% (255/330)
Long passes
69% (31/45)37% (15/41)
Passes in final third
80% (208/261)62% (44/71)
Crosses
31% (12/39)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
3.080.32
Throw ins
3113
Fouls
610
Tackles
75% (9/12)81% (17/21)
Duels won
5437
Clearances
1351
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
18
xGOT faced
1.163.18
Goals prevented
-0.841.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Gulacsi P. , Vandevoordt M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', Kumbedi S. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Amoura M. , Daghim A. (A),
  • 60', Shiogai K. , Svanberg M. ,
  • 63', Henrichs B. , Baku R. ,
  • 63', Harder C. , Romulo Cardoso ,
  • 63', Schlager X. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Diomande Y. , Gruda B. (A),
  • 77', Muller M. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Svanberg M. , Belocian J. (A),
  • 82', Seiwald N. , Lukeba C. ,
  • 82', Nusa A. , Bakayoko J. ,
  • 83', Amoura M. , Koulierakis K. ,
  • 84', Majer L. , Pejcinovic D. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Gruda B. ,
  • 90+5', Daghim A. , Adjetey J. ,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
62.7%
Draw
20.1%
Wolfsburg
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65% 18.6% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 18.2% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.46)
    4.72
    (5.11)
    5.55
    (5.79)
    4.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 59 - 83.1%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 2 - 2.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 74.4%91.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - RB Leipzig (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - RB Leipzig (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - RB Leipzig (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 23 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4.
    • RB Leipzig has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wolfsburg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Raum D. (Yellow Cards) Sani S. (Ankle Injury) Thomas A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Illness) Paredes K. (Illness) Wimmer P. (Muscle Injury) Zehnter A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3
    26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0
    30.11.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:5
    13.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 3:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    11.02.2026 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 2:0
    08.02.2026 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:2
    31.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2
    27.01.2026 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 1:1
    24.01.2026 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 0:3
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    30.01.2026 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0
    24.01.2026 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1
    17.01.2026 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 1:1
    14.01.2026 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga