Result
2:3
11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 29
- Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.68 | 1.33 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
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17 | 16 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 5 |
Passes |
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81% (314/388) | 83% (379/457) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.68 | 1.33 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.78 | 2.32 |
Total shots |
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17 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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16 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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31 | 23 |
Offsides |
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3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 14 |
Passes |
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81% (314/388) | 83% (379/457) |
Long passes |
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55% (30/55) | 49% (23/47) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (107/145) | 77% (126/164) |
Crosses |
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31% (11/35) | 15% (2/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.77 | 0.93 |
Fouls |
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14 | 13 |
Tackles |
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43% (6/14) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
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44 | 56 |
Clearances Total |
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28 | 32 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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2.32 | 1.78 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.68 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Openda L. ⚽, Baku R. (A),
- 26', 0 - 2, Simons X. ⚽, Vermeeren A. (A),
- 34', Gerhardt Y. 🟨,
- 36', Bitshiabu E. 🟨,
- 36', Simons X. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 3, Simons X. ⚽, Baku R. (A),
- 58', 1 - 3, Fischer K. ⚽, Kaminski J. (A),
- 60', Fischer K. 🟨,
- 71', Kaminski J. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
- 71', Vavro D. ↓, Maehle J. ↑,
- 71', Baku R. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
- 71', Vermeeren A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 3, Skov Olsen A. ⚽, Maehle J. (A),
- 76', Openda L. 🟨,
- 77', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 77', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
- 85', Simons X. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
- 86', Wimmer P. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
- 86', Dardai B. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/25hsf832
Chances of winning
Wolfsburg 34.1% | Draw 26.3% | RB Leipzig 39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.82 ↑ (2.51) |
3.63 ↓ (3.77) |
2.42 ↓ (2.66) |
4.4% (3.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 39.2% – 72.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 3.
- Wolfsburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Wolfsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M.
(Muscle Injury)
Bialek B.
(Knee Injury)
Bornauw S.
(Foot Injury)
Majer L.
(Ankle Injury)
Rogerio
(Knee Injury)
Svanberg M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nusa A.
(Knee Injury)
Ouedraogo A.
(Knee Injury)
Schlager X.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Koulierakis K.
(Injury)
Vavro D.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:34 (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against RB Leipzig?
Wolfsburg has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Wolfsburg?
RB Leipzig has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig were as follows:
26.02.2025
RB Leipzig
-
Wolfsburg
1:0
30.11.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Wolfsburg
1:5
13.04.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Wolfsburg
3:0
25.11.2023
Wolfsburg
-
RB Leipzig
2:1
31.10.2023
Wolfsburg
-
RB Leipzig
1:0
Latest results of Wolfsburg
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga