Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg).

Bundesliga - Round 29
Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	1.33
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
17	16
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
81% (314/388)	83% (379/457)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.78	2.32
Total shots
17	16
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
16	7
Shots outside the Box
1	9
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
31	23
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
81% (314/388)	83% (379/457)
Long passes
55% (30/55)	49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
74% (107/145)	77% (126/164)
Crosses
31% (11/35)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.77	0.93
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
43% (6/14)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
44	56
Clearances Total
28	32
Interceptions
12	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
2.32	1.78
Goals prevented
-0.68	-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Openda L. ⚽, Baku R. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Simons X. ⚽, Vermeeren A. (A),
34', Gerhardt Y. 🟨,
36', Bitshiabu E. 🟨,
36', Simons X. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Simons X. ⚽, Baku R. (A),
58', 1 - 3, Fischer K. ⚽, Kaminski J. (A),
60', Fischer K. 🟨,
71', Kaminski J. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
71', Vavro D. ↓, Maehle J. ↑,
71', Baku R. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
71', Vermeeren A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Skov Olsen A. ⚽, Maehle J. (A),
76', Openda L. 🟨,
77', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
77', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
85', Simons X. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
86', Wimmer P. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
86', Dardai B. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/25hsf832

Chances of winning

Wolfsburg
34.1%

Draw
26.3%

RB Leipzig
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

25.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.51)	3.63 ↓ (3.77)	2.42 ↓ (2.66)	4.4% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 39.2% – 72.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 3.
Wolfsburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wolfsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Majer L. (Ankle Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Koulierakis K. (Injury) Vavro D. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:34 (average 0.9:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against RB Leipzig?

Wolfsburg has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Wolfsburg?

RB Leipzig has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig were as follows:

26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0

30.11.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:5

13.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 3:0

25.11.2023 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:1

31.10.2023 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 1:0

Latest results of Wolfsburg

06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 1:2 ✺

Latest results of RB Leipzig

05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	6:0	6	3
2	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	0:6	-6	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga