Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg).

Bundesliga - Round 5
Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.96	2.41
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
22	20
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
6	11
Passes
83% (371/446)	83% (360/435)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.96	2.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	1.02
Total shots
22	20
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked Shots
9	8
Shots inside the Box
17	10
Shots outside the Box
5	10
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
6	11
Touches in opposition box
34	47
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	5
Free Kicks
9	7
Passes
83% (371/446)	83% (360/435)
Long passes
61% (31/51)	47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
61% (54/89)	74% (93/126)
Crosses
38% (8/21)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.63	1.12
Throw-ins
15	17
Fouls
7	9
Tackles
61% (11/18)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
56	46
Clearances
28	15
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
1.02	0.72
Goals prevented
0.02	0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Bakayoko J. ⚽, Romulo Cardoso (A),
24', Diomande Y. 🟨,
45', Orban W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wimmer P. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
58', Arnold M. 🟨,
64', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
70', Svanberg M. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
70', Wind J. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
79', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
79', Diomande Y. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
90', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
90', Baumgartner C. (Pen),
90+1', Vini Souza ↓, Majer L. ↑,
90+1', Fischer K. ↓, Zehnter A. ↑,
90+3', Bakayoko J. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
90+3', Baumgartner C. ↓, Werner T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Wolfsburg
32.2%

Draw
25.7%

RB Leipzig
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

26.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.64)	3.92 ↑ (3.65)	2.32 ↓ (2.52)	0.1% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 43.1% – 81.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
Wolfsburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
RB Leipzig is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Skov Olsen A. (Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Finkgrafe M. (Knee Injury) Haidara A. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nedeljkovic K. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Calf Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against RB Leipzig?

Wolfsburg has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Wolfsburg?

RB Leipzig has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig were as follows:

11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3

26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0

30.11.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:5

13.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 3:0

25.11.2023 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:1

Latest results of Wolfsburg

21.09.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Köln 3:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3 ✺

16.08.2025 Hemelingen - Wolfsburg 0:9 ✺

Latest results of RB Leipzig

20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Sandhausen - RB Leipzig 2:4 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	6	6	0	0	25:3	22	18
2	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	12:4	8	14
3	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	8:8	0	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	3	2	1	12:8	4	11
5	FC Koln	6	3	1	2	11:9	2	10
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	3	0	3	17:16	1	9
7	Stuttgart	5	3	0	2	7:6	1	9
8	Freiburg	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
9	St. Pauli	6	2	1	3	8:9	-1	7
10	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7
11	Werder Bremen	6	2	1	3	9:14	-5	7
12	Union Berlin	6	2	1	3	8:13	-5	7
13	Augsburg	6	2	0	4	11:13	-2	6
14	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
15	Hamburger SV	5	1	2	2	2:8	-6	5
16	Mainz	5	1	1	3	5:6	-1	4
17	Heidenheim	5	1	0	4	4:10	-6	3
18	B. Monchengladbach	5	0	2	3	5:12	-7	2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga