Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Perez C. ,
  • 10', 1 - 1, El Battioui A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 57', 1 - 2, Ceinos D. ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Lorenzo D. ,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Manso M. A. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 4, Canito ,

Chances of winning


Real Ávila
49.9%
Draw
29.8%
Atlético Astorga
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 27.9% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 26.7% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Ávila's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Ávila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.61)
    3.08
    (3.24)
    4.52
    (5.64)
    9.1%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Atlético Astorga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real Ávila is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Ávila won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila 1:3
    25.11.2023 Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila 0:1
    14.01.2023 Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila 0:0
    11.09.2022 Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga 3:3
    Latest results of Real Ávila
    Latest results of Atlético Astorga
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril ✔ 31199356:193766
    2Oviedo B311510646:301655
    3Gimnastica Segoviana31139934:31348
    4UD Ourense31139933:31248
    5Real Avila311381045:43247
    6Salamanca311381040:32847
    7Numancia311210939:32746
    8Coruxo FC311361238:33545
    9Bergantinos311191136:33342
    10Langreo311191132:34-242
    11Rayo Cantabria31915754:431142
    12Sarriana311171339:36340
    13Atl. Astorga311171339:42-340
    14Marino de Luanco319121026:24239
    15Valladolid Promesas31991353:58-536
    16Burgos CF B317111336:52-1632
    17Lealtad31761827:47-2027
    18UD Samano ✔ 31362222:75-5315

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    UD Samano is Relegated to