Numancia vs Real Ávila – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Gil A. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Runy ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Gutierrez C. ,

Chances of winning


Numancia
46.8%
Draw
29.6%
Real Ávila
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 27.5% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 28.8% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Numancia - Real Ávila Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.89)
    3.08
    (3.29)
    3.85
    (3.68)
    9.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Numancia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Real Ávila is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Numancia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Numancia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia - Real Ávila were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Real Ávila - Numancia 0:0
    13.04.2025 Numancia - Real Ávila 2:0
    30.11.2024 Real Ávila - Numancia 0:0
    Latest results of Numancia
    04.04.2026 Real Oviedo B - Numancia 0:0
    29.03.2026 Numancia - Sarriana 2:2
    22.03.2026 Coruxo - Numancia 1:1
    07.03.2026 Valladolid B - Numancia 1:1
    Latest results of Real Ávila
    05.04.2026 Real Ávila - Langreo 1:2
    28.03.2026 Sámano - Real Ávila 0:4
    07.03.2026 Real Ávila - Sarriana 0:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril ✔ 31199356:193766
    2Oviedo B311510646:301655
    3Gimnastica Segoviana31139934:31348
    4UD Ourense31139933:31248
    5Real Avila311381045:43247
    6Salamanca311381040:32847
    7Numancia311210939:32746
    8Coruxo FC311361238:33545
    9Bergantinos311191136:33342
    10Langreo311191132:34-242
    11Rayo Cantabria31915754:431142
    12Sarriana311171339:36340
    13Atl. Astorga311171339:42-340
    14Marino de Luanco319121026:24239
    15Valladolid Promesas31991353:58-536
    16Burgos CF B317111336:52-1632
    17Lealtad31761827:47-2027
    18UD Samano ✔ 31362222:75-5315

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    UD Samano is Relegated to