Real Brasilia vs Grêmio Porto Alegrense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brasileiro Women Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro Women - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
611
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', 1 - 0, Dani ,
  • 45+2', Dani Barao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Amanda Brunner , Shasha ,
  • 46', Rodriguez Y. , Gisele ,
  • 60', Dani 🟨,
  • 61', Montoya D. 🟨,
  • 67', Lay 🟨,
  • 69', Giovana , Pitty ,
  • 69', Lay , Renata Rosa ,
  • 70', Raissa Bahia , Valeria Paula ,
  • 73', Kim Campos , Manu ,
  • 77', Maria Dias , Julia Martins ,
  • 81', Maiara , Edna ,
  • 89', Valeria Paula 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Manu ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Valeria Paula ,

Chances of winning


Real Brasilia
17.5%
Draw
25.2%
Grêmio Porto Alegrense
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 24.3% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 23.9% 54.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Brasilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.15
    (4.08)
    3.58
    (3.72)
    1.58
    (1.69)
    10.7%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
    • Real Brasilia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Grêmio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Real Brasilia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Grêmio is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Brasilia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Real Brasilia 2:0
    20.05.2023 Real Brasilia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense 1:0
    Latest results of Real Brasilia
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Cruzeiro WBragantino W2 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Palmeiras WFlamengo W3 : 0, 2 : 3
    3Corinthians WBahia W2 : 0, 2 : 1
    4Sao Paulo WFerroviaria W2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cruzeiro WPalmeiras W3 : 1
    2Corinthians WSao Paulo W2 : 0