Real Brasilia vs Samambaia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Real Brasilia - Samambaia
Result
1:1
17/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 0 - 1, Victor Xavier (Pen),
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Real Brasilia
25.1%
Draw
29.2%
Samambaia
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 29.6% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 29.1% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Brasilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Brasilia's form might have worsened.
  • Samambaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samambaia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Brasilia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samambaia than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samambaia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Brasilia - Samambaia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.62
    (2.91)
    3.11
    (3.08)
    1.98
    (2.33)
    10.3%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Real Brasilia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Samambaia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Brasilia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real Brasilia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Brasilia - Samambaia were as follows:
    05.02.2024 Samambaia - Real Brasilia 3:0
    04.03.2023 Real Brasilia - Samambaia 2:0
    Latest results of Real Brasilia
    Latest results of Samambaia
    12.02.2025 Samambaia - Sobradinho 1:0
    08.02.2025 Samambaia - Gama 0:1
    02.02.2025 Legião - Samambaia 0:4
    29.01.2025 Paranoá - Samambaia 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Brasiliense (1)Gama (4)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Capital (2)Ceilandia (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Gama (4)Capital (2)2 : 1