Result
1:2
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Chessa M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 85', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Calepina
41.7% | Draw
28.2% | Castellanzese
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Real Calepina - Castellanzese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.12) |
3.25 ↓
(3.3) |
3.03 ↑
(2.92) |
9.4%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
- Real Calepina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castellanzese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Real Calepina might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Calepina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Calepina won against Castellanzese?
Real Calepina has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellanzese won against Real Calepina?
Castellanzese has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Calepina - Castellanzese were as follows:
05.10.2025
Castellanzese
-
Real Calepina
3:2
07.01.2024
Castellanzese
-
Real Calepina
2:1
10.09.2023
Real Calepina
-
Castellanzese
1:1
Latest results of Real Calepina
Latest results of Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 37:25 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | Chievo | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 43 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Leon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Oltrepo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Scanzorosciate | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 12 | Caldiero Terme | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 14 | Breno | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Varesina | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Pavia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 19 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 15:39 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
