Result
1:2
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Chessa M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 85', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Calepina
41.7% | Draw
28.2% | Castellanzese
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Real Calepina - Castellanzese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.12) |
3.25 ↓
(3.3) |
3.03 ↑
(2.92) |
9.4%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
- Real Calepina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castellanzese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Real Calepina might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Calepina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Calepina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Calepina won against Castellanzese?
Real Calepina has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellanzese won against Real Calepina?
Castellanzese has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Calepina - Castellanzese were as follows:
05.10.2025
Castellanzese
-
Real Calepina
3:2
07.01.2024
Castellanzese
-
Real Calepina
2:1
10.09.2023
Real Calepina
-
Castellanzese
1:1
Latest results of Real Calepina
Latest results of Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 51:22 | 29 | 64 |
| 2 | Chievo | 31 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Leon | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49:34 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 40:29 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Oltrepo | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 41:37 | 4 | 40 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:33 | 4 | 39 |
| 14 | Breno | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Pavia | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Varesina | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:58 | -30 | 25 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 31 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 19:58 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
