Vogherese vs Real Calepina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Oboe M. ,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Oboe M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 2, Castegnaro J. ,

Chances of winning


Vogherese
35%
Draw
28.3%
Real Calepina
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 26.3% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 26.4% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • The chances for Real Calepina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Vogherese - Real Calepina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.44)
    3.2
    (3.43)
    2.47
    (2.46)
    10.4%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Recent form of Vogherese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Real Calepina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vogherese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vogherese - Real Calepina were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Real Calepina - Vogherese 2:2
    Latest results of Vogherese
    11.01.2026 Breno - Vogherese 2:1
    04.01.2026 Vogherese - Oltrepo 0:1
    21.12.2025 Vogherese - Milan Futuro 2:2
    14.12.2025 Caldiero Terme - Vogherese 2:2
    Latest results of Real Calepina
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese26158342:192353
    2USD Casatese261013337:251243
    3Villa Valle26134937:34343
    4Chievo26134937:35243
    5AC Milan U2326126841:301142
    6Brusaporto26126832:26642
    7Leon26109733:26739
    8Oltrepo26117829:26337
    9Scanzorosciate26812629:25436
    10Ciserano-Bergamo2699821:21036
    11Castellanzese2698933:27635
    12Caldiero Terme26811734:29535
    13Real Calepina26961135:35033
    14Breno26781131:38-729
    15Varesina264121027:34-724
    16Pavia26591227:41-1424
    17Sondrio26541722:52-3019
    18Vogherese26281615:39-248

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation