Result
1:1
27/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Montero F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marin J. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
- 59', Guevara L. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 59', Lora R. ↓, Florez C. ↑,
- 70', Cuero J. ↓, Yepes C. ↑,
- 70', Herrera J. ↓, Manotas M. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Yepes C. ⚽,
- 80', Pino D. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
- 80', Aleman J. ↓, Yanes L. ↑,
- 80', Caicedo J. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 82', Yanes L. 🟨,
- 89', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Montero F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Vallejo J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Angulo Perlaza H. 🟨,
Highlights
http://tinyurl.com/yc6dne8h
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors de Cali 19.2% | Draw 27% | Real Cartagena 53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors de Cali's form might have worsened.Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Cartagena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.81 ↑ (3.78) |
3.41 ↑ (3.26) |
1.71 ↓ (1.98) |
8.5% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Real Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 0.
- Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Real Cartagena is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Real Cartagena is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors de Cali won against Real Cartagena?
Boca Juniors de Cali has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Cartagena won against Boca Juniors de Cali?
Real Cartagena has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena were as follows:
24.11.2025
Boca Juniors de Cali
-
Real Cartagena
0:0
01.11.2025
Real Cartagena
-
Boca Juniors de Cali
1:1
08.08.2025
Boca Juniors de Cali
-
Real Cartagena
2:2
02.03.2025
Real Cartagena
-
Boca Juniors de Cali
3:2
21.08.2024
Boca Juniors de Cali
-
Real Cartagena
1:4
Latest results of Boca Juniors de Cali
Latest results of Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Palmira ✔ | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25:12 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | U. Magdalena ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Cartagena ✔ | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Quindio ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Envigado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Tigres | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Barranquilla | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bogota | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Atletico F.C | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | Leones | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Palmira is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
U. Magdalena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Cartagena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Quindio is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )