Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Palacios L. ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, Palacios L. ⚽,
- 40', Ceballos A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Moreno J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Ceballos A. ↓, Pena J. ↑,
- 46', Moreno J. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
- 46', Guevara L. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
- 50', Graciano C. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 3, Hincapie F. ⚽,
- 53', 🟨,
- 54', Pena J. 🟨,
- 60', Moreno D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 60', Tegue G. ↓, Yanes L. ↑,
- 62', Melendez A. 🟨,
- 64', Segura O. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 65', Rodriguez J. ↓, Redondo Garcia E. H. ↑,
- 71', Aleman J. ↓, Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↑,
- 76', Palacios L. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 76', Hincapie F. ↓, Rodriguez Cespedes C. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Manotas M. ⚽,
- 86', 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Manotas M. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4tzks5kb
Chances of winning
Real Cartagena
74.1% | Draw
17% | Leones
9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Real Cartagena - Leones Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.33) |
5.43 ↑
(5.01) |
10.3 ↑
(7.79) |
8.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena - Leones?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Real Cartagena (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 3.
- Real Cartagena has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Leones has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Real Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Real Cartagena is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Cartagena won against Leones?
Real Cartagena has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones won against Real Cartagena?
Leones has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Cartagena - Leones were as follows:
18.08.2025
Real Cartagena
-
Leones
4:0
17.02.2025
Leones
-
Real Cartagena
1:2
22.09.2024
Real Cartagena
-
Leones
1:0
20.04.2024
Leones
-
Real Cartagena
0:0
11.11.2023
Real Cartagena
-
Leones
1:1
Latest results of Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Palmira ✔ | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Quindio | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Cartagena | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | U. Magdalena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Envigado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Orsomarso | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Barranquilla | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Patriotas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Real Santander | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Atletico F.C | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Palmira is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
