Real Cartagena vs Leones – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Apertura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
66
Corner kicks
62
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
01
Total shots
77
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
11
Corner kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Palacios L. ,
  • 20', 0 - 2, Palacios L. ,
  • 40', Ceballos A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Moreno J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Ceballos A. , Pena J. ,
  • 46', Moreno J. , Graciano C. ,
  • 46', Guevara L. , Nieva J. ,
  • 50', Graciano C. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 3, Hincapie F. ,
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 54', Pena J. 🟨,
  • 60', Moreno D. , Martinez J. ,
  • 60', Tegue G. , Yanes L. ,
  • 62', Melendez A. 🟨,
  • 64', Segura O. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez J. , Redondo Garcia E. H. ,
  • 71', Aleman J. , Ditta Ruiz J. J. ,
  • 76', Palacios L. , Garcia D. ,
  • 76', Hincapie F. , Rodriguez Cespedes C. ,
  • 84', 1 - 3, Manotas M. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Manotas M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4tzks5kb

Official Live

Chances of winning


Real Cartagena
74.1%
Draw
17%
Leones
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 18.5% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2% 17.4% 11.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Real Cartagena - Leones Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.33)
    5.43
    (5.01)
    10.3
    (7.79)
    8.5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Real Cartagena - Leones?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Real Cartagena (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 3.
    • Real Cartagena has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Leones has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Real Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real Cartagena is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Cartagena - Leones were as follows:
    18.08.2025 Real Cartagena - Leones 4:0
    17.02.2025 Leones - Real Cartagena 1:2
    22.09.2024 Real Cartagena - Leones 1:0
    20.04.2024 Leones - Real Cartagena 0:0
    11.11.2023 Real Cartagena - Leones 1:1
    Latest results of Real Cartagena
    Latest results of Leones
    14.02.2026 Leones - Unión Magdalena 1:3
    08.02.2026 Real Cundinamarca - Leones 2:0
    05.02.2026 Leones - Bogotá 1:1
    01.02.2026 Deportes Quindío - Leones 3:0
    26.01.2026 Leones - Tigres 0:0
    Colombian Primera B Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Quindio32103:127
    2Envigado31113:214
    3Tigres31021:3-23
    4Inter Palmira30210:1-12


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Magdalena21103:124
    2Cartagena21102:024
    3Bogota20111:3-21
    4Barranquilla20110:2-21

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