Result
1:0
13/04/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 45', Porras A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Guevara L. 🟨,
- 60', Barrera J. ↓, Florez C. ↑,
- 60', Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 62', Campana J. ↓, Copete C. ↑,
- 62', Gomez M. ↓, Barahona J. ↑,
- 62', Montes J. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Torres F. ⚽,
- 78', Palomeque D. 🟨,
- 78', Escobar A. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
- 78', Guevara L. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 86', Copete C. 🟨,
- 88', Torres F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Torres F. ↓, Figueroa F. ↑,
- 90+1', Alvarez K. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
- 90+1', Aleman J. ↓, Yanes L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Patriotas
48.1% | Draw
29.8% | Real Cartagena
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patriotas's performance.Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Cartagena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Patriotas - Real Cartagena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.13) |
3.09 ↓
(3.3) |
4.16 ↑
(3.14) |
8.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Patriotas - Real Cartagena?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Real Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Real Cartagena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3.
- Recent performances by Patriotas have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Real Cartagena is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Patriotas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Patriotas won against Real Cartagena?
Patriotas has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Cartagena won against Patriotas?
Real Cartagena has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Patriotas - Real Cartagena were as follows:
20.11.2025
Real Cartagena
-
Patriotas
0:1
07.11.2025
Patriotas
-
Real Cartagena
2:2
15.09.2025
Patriotas
-
Real Cartagena
3:1
16.04.2025
Real Cartagena
-
Patriotas
1:3
28.07.2023
Patriotas
-
Real Cartagena
0:0
Latest results of Patriotas
Latest results of Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B Table
Apertura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Quindio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Envigado | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Tigres | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Cartagena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Bogota | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | Barranquilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
