Result
1:1
17/12/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 18
Chances of winning
Real Casalnuovo 65.9% | Draw 20.2% | San Luca 14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Casalnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Casalnuovo's performance.San Luca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Luca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Casalnuovo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Casalnuovo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Luca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Casalnuovo - San Luca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↓ (1.64) |
4.47 ↑ (3.75) |
6.46 ↑ (4.45) |
11% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Real Casalnuovo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- San Luca is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Real Casalnuovo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Real Casalnuovo is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Real Casalnuovo to win the game is with odds 1.51.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Casalnuovo won against San Luca?
Real Casalnuovo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Luca won against Real Casalnuovo?
San Luca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Casalnuovo - San Luca were as follows:
Latest results of Real Casalnuovo
Latest results of San Luca
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Athletic Palermo | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:35 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Nissa | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Savoia | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Reggina | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:19 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Gela | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:28 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | AS Acireale | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Paterno | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation