Result
1:1
17/12/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 18
Chances of winning
Real Casalnuovo 65.9% | Draw 20.2% | San Luca 14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Casalnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Casalnuovo's performance.San Luca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Luca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Casalnuovo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Casalnuovo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Luca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Casalnuovo - San Luca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↓ (1.64) |
4.47 ↑ (3.75) |
6.46 ↑ (4.45) |
11% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Real Casalnuovo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- San Luca is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Real Casalnuovo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Real Casalnuovo is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Real Casalnuovo to win the game is with odds 1.51.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Casalnuovo won against San Luca?
Real Casalnuovo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Luca won against Real Casalnuovo?
San Luca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Casalnuovo - San Luca were as follows:
Latest results of Real Casalnuovo
Latest results of San Luca
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 54:28 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nissa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Reggina | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:19 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:27 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Gela | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Paterno | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20:63 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation