Xelajú vs Real Estelí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football CONCACAF Central American Cup Xelajú - Real Estelí
Result
4:1
14/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, Tubi TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Diaz Y. , Lopez A. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Preciado C. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 1, Aparicio J. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Baez P. , de Oliveira C. (A),
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Cardoza E. , Cardona J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Xelajú
54.4%
Draw
25.7%
Real Estelí
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 29.4% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 29.6% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xelajú's performance.
  • Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Estelí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xelajú that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Estelí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Xelajú - Real Estelí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.09)
    3.76
    (3.1)
    4.85
    (3.38)
    3.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Xelajú - Real Estelí?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Xelajú will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Xelajú: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Xelajú has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Estelí is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Xelajú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Xelajú could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xelajú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Xelajú - Real Estelí were as follows:
    01.08.2023 Real Estelí - Xelajú 1:0
    Latest results of Xelajú
    09.08.2025 Deportivo Mixco - Xelajú 2:1
    06.08.2025 Xelajú - Águila 3:0
    02.08.2025 Xelajú - Mictlán 0:0
    30.07.2025 Hércules - Xelajú 0:2
    25.07.2025 Xelajú - Antigua GFC 0:2
    Latest results of Real Estelí
    CONCACAF Central American Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Plaza Amador440011:6512
    2Alajuelense43015:329
    3Antigua41127:704
    4Alianza FC41121:2-14
    5Managua FC40044:10-60


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Miguelito42115:6-17
    2Real Espana42028:626
    3Municipal41308:716
    4Diriangen41126:604
    5Herediano411210:12-24


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motagua42206:248
    2Cartagines421112:397
    3Saprissa42114:227
    4Independiente42025:7-26
    5Verdes40044:17-130


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia431011:3810
    2Xelaju43019:459
    3Esteli42026:7-16
    4Aguila41124:7-34
    5Hercules40041:10-90

          Promotion ~ CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)