Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | 101tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Rosa M. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Siverio M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 2 - 1, Perea G. ⚽,
- 83', Martos M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Malaga B 20.4% | Draw 24.1% | Real Jaén 55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malaga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malaga B's performance.Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Jaén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malaga B that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Jaén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Malaga B - Real Jaén Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.5 ↓ (6.32) |
3.82 ↑ (3.79) |
1.66 ↑ (1.49) |
8.7% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- Malaga B is Relegated to
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malaga B won 5.
- Malaga B is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaén is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Jaén is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Jaén will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Malaga B won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malaga B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Malaga B won against Real Jaén?
Malaga B has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Jaén won against Malaga B?
Real Jaén has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malaga B - Real Jaén were as follows:
10.05.2025
Real Jaén
-
Malaga B
1:3
12.01.2025
Malaga B
-
Real Jaén
2:0
09.03.2024
Malaga B
-
Real Jaén
1:0
29.10.2023
Real Jaén
-
Malaga B
1:2
07.05.2023
Real Jaén
-
Malaga B
1:2
Latest results of Malaga B
Latest results of Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 48:35 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | UCAM Murcia | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 47:34 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 40:23 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Deportiva Minera | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43:29 | 14 | 54 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 31:24 | 7 | 54 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 37:21 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Jaen | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 44 |
| 9 | Linares | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 44 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 29:29 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Antoniano | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | La Union | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | CD Estepona | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:40 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Melilla | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | -24 | 20 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 25:59 | -34 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to