Malaga B vs Real Jaén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpain101tv

Match Stats

Yellow cards
01
Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Rosa M. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Siverio M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', 2 - 1, Perea G. ,
  • 83', Martos M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Malaga B
20.4%
Draw
24.1%
Real Jaén
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.5% 24.1% 61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2% 23.6% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malaga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malaga B's performance.
  • Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Jaén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malaga B that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Jaén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Malaga B - Real Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (6.32)
    3.82
    (3.79)
    1.66
    (1.49)
    8.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Malaga B is Relegated to
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malaga B won 5.
    • Malaga B is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Jaén is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Jaén is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Jaén will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Malaga B won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malaga B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malaga B - Real Jaén were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Real Jaén - Malaga B 1:3
    12.01.2025 Malaga B - Real Jaén 2:0
    09.03.2024 Malaga B - Real Jaén 1:0
    29.10.2023 Real Jaén - Malaga B 1:2
    07.05.2023 Real Jaén - Malaga B 1:2
    Latest results of Malaga B
    28.03.2026 La Unión - Malaga B 3:1
    14.03.2026 Malaga B - Xerez CD 1:2
    08.03.2026 Minera - Malaga B 3:2
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CD Extremadura311511548:351356
    2UCAM Murcia31167847:341355
    3Aguilas FC31167840:231755
    4Deportiva Minera31166943:291454
    5Xerez CD31166931:24754
    6Recreativo Huelva31149837:211651
    7Jaen31149838:30851
    8Lorca Deportiva311281130:31-144
    9Linares311014735:38-344
    10Yeclano311251429:29041
    11Antoniano311171333:36-340
    12La Union311161437:38-139
    13Puente Genil319101225:33-837
    14CD Estepona311071434:40-637
    15Xerez D.F.C318111231:38-735
    16Melilla317121231:32-133
    17Almeria B ✔ 31481922:46-2420
    18Malaga B ✔ 31452225:59-3417

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Almeria B is Relegated to
    Malaga B is Relegated to