Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | 101tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Rosa M. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Siverio M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 2 - 1, Perea G. ⚽,
- 83', Martos M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Malaga B
20.4% | Draw
24.1% | Real Jaén
55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malaga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malaga B's performance.Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Jaén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malaga B that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Jaén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Malaga B - Real Jaén Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.5 ↓
(6.32) |
3.82 ↑
(3.79) |
1.66 ↑
(1.49) |
8.7%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- Malaga B is Relegated to
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malaga B won 5.
- Malaga B is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaén is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Jaén is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Jaén will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Malaga B won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malaga B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Malaga B won against Real Jaén?
Malaga B has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Jaén won against Malaga B?
Real Jaén has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malaga B - Real Jaén were as follows:
10.05.2025
Real Jaén
-
Malaga B
1:3
12.01.2025
Malaga B
-
Real Jaén
2:0
09.03.2024
Malaga B
-
Real Jaén
1:0
29.10.2023
Real Jaén
-
Malaga B
1:2
07.05.2023
Real Jaén
-
Malaga B
1:2
Latest results of Malaga B
Latest results of Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 16 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | -3 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 0 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C. ✔ | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla ✔ | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | -27 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Xerez D.F.C. is Relegated to
Melilla is Relegated to
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
