Result
1:0
13/05/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 36
Chances of winning
Leonesa 31% | Draw 29.3% | Real Madrid Castilla 39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid Castilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leonesa - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↓ (4.04) |
3.14 ↓ (3.24) |
2.31 ↑ (1.87) |
9.4% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- Leonesa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Leonesa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Leonesa?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
03.12.2022
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Leonesa
1:1
Latest results of Leonesa
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
6 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
9 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
11 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation