Leonesa vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/05/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 36

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
31%
Draw
29.3%
Real Madrid Castilla
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 28.3% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 27.7% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.
  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid Castilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leonesa - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (4.04)
    3.14
    (3.24)
    2.31
    (1.87)
    9.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Leonesa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
    03.12.2022 Real Madrid Castilla - Leonesa 1:1
    Latest results of Leonesa
    07.05.2023 Badajoz - Leonesa 1:0
    23.04.2023 Mérida AD - Leonesa 3:1
    16.04.2023 Leonesa - Linense 1:1
    09.04.2023 San Fernando - Leonesa 1:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife ✔ 352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B ✔ 351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9Lugo3512131034:37-349
    10AD Merida351391344:49-548
    11Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    12Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    13Ath Bilbao B3512101336:40-446
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15Ourense CF359121440:42-239
    16CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    17Cacereno358141335:45-1038
    18Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    19Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    20Arenteiro35692029:50-2127

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
    Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1