Leonesa vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/05/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 36

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
31%
Draw
29.3%
Real Madrid Castilla
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 28.3% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 27.7% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.
  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid Castilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leonesa - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (4.04)
    3.14
    (3.24)
    2.31
    (1.87)
    9.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Leonesa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
    03.12.2022 Real Madrid Castilla - Leonesa 1:1
    Latest results of Leonesa
    07.05.2023 Badajoz - Leonesa 1:0
    23.04.2023 Mérida AD - Leonesa 3:1
    16.04.2023 Leonesa - Linense 1:1
    09.04.2023 San Fernando - Leonesa 1:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B331481152:421050
    4Pontevedra321213738:241449
    5Zamora321310943:37649
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF339111337:38-138
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation