Arsenal LFC vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
2:1
19/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Gasperotti S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaESPN 2, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, CT sport Plus, Disney+, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+
greeceGreeceDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainDisney+
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, Disney+, TV12
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.63
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
81% (372/459)82% (345/420)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.71
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
610
Passes
81% (372/459)82% (345/420)
Long passes
50% (17/34)30% (14/46)
Passes in final third
73% (109/149)62% (55/89)
Crosses
25% (7/28)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.37
Throw-ins
2613
Fouls
106
Tackles
56% (9/16)83% (15/18)
Duels won
3845
Clearances
1624
Interceptions
1613
Errors leading to shot
31
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.710.88
Goals prevented
-0.29-1.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Weir C. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Russo A. ⚽, Kelly C. (A),
  • 56', Kelly C. 🟨,
  • 59', Navarro E. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
  • 63', Kelly C. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
  • 63', Smith O. ↓, Foord C. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Russo A. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
  • 68', del Castillo A. ↓, Keukelaar L. ↑,
  • 68', Dabritz S. ↓, Dorado I. ↑,
  • 68', Feller N. ↓, Redondo A. ↑,
  • 83', Yasmim ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
  • 88', McCabe K. ↓, Hinds T. ↑,
  • 88', Russo A. ↓, Blackstenius S. ↑,
  • 90+3', Cooney-Cross K. ↓, Codina L. ↑,

Chances of winning


Arsenal LFC
63.3%		Draw
20.8%		Real Madrid
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 20.8% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 20% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
    •

    Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.46 ↓
    (1.51)    		 4.47 ↓
    (4.49)    		 5.87 ↑
    (5.41)    		 7.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal LFC: 65% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Arsenal LFC (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Real Madrid (2.51) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal LFC will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal LFC (votes: 8 - 80%). Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Arsenal LFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Madrid is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Madrid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Arsenal LFC has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Arsenal LFC is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid 3:0
    18.03.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal LFC 2:0
    Latest results of Arsenal LFC
    16.11.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal LFC 0:0
    12.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC 3:2 ✺
    08.11.2025 Arsenal LFC - Chelsea 1:1
    02.11.2025 Leicester City - Arsenal LFC 1:4
    16.10.2025 Benfica - Arsenal LFC 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    15.11.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:0
    11.11.2025 Real Madrid - Paris FC 1:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Real Madrid - Alhama 5:0
    01.11.2025 Espanyol - Real Madrid 0:1
    19.10.2025 Real Madrid - Levante 4:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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