Arsenal LFC vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid
Result
3:0
26/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Gasperotti S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil, Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayVG+
spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max, M+ Ellas V, Movistar+ Lite
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, SVT 24, SVT Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 1, DAZN 1 UK, DAZN, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaDAZN USA

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.940.35
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
86% (450/524)73% (203/279)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.940.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.110.33
Total shots
184
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
153
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
496
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
127
Passes
86% (450/524)73% (203/279)
Long passes
58% (22/38)28% (16/58)
Passes in final third
75% (155/207)44% (16/36)
Crosses
29% (10/35)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.03
Fouls
712
Tackles
88% (15/17)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4435
Clearances Total
833
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.332.11
Goals prevented
0.33-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Russo A. , Kelly C. (A),
  • 49', 2 - 0, Caldentey M. , Kelly C. (A),
  • 59', 3 - 0, Russo A. , Catley S. (A),
  • 74', Kelly C. , Mead B. ,
  • 75', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. , Walti L. ,
  • 76', Carmona O. , Redondo A. ,
  • 76', Bruun S. , Feller N. ,
  • 76', Angeldal F. , Yasmim ,
  • 90', Little K. , Blackstenius S. ,

Chances of winning


Arsenal LFC
65.3%
Draw
19.8%
Real Madrid
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 21.8% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 20.6% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal LFC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.51)
    4.68
    (4.2)
    6.31
    (5.3)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arsenal LFC will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal LFC: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
    • Recent matches Arsenal LFC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real Madrid is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real Madrid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Arsenal LFC is certain favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Arsenal LFC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid were as follows:
    18.03.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal LFC 2:0
    Latest results of Arsenal LFC
    18.03.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal LFC 2:0
    14.03.2025 Everton - Arsenal LFC 1:3
    02.03.2025 Arsenal LFC - West Ham 4:3
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    23.03.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 1:3
    18.03.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal LFC 2:0
    12.03.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:1
    09.03.2025 Sevilla - Real Madrid 0:4
    Draw
    Qualification - First stage

    Semi-finals
    1Racing Luxembourg WAEK Athens FC W5 : 3
    2Flora WRiga FC W1 : 4
    3Anenii Noi WSwieqi W0 : 5
    4Myjava WBuducnost W3 : 0
    5Ljuboten WNSI Runavik W4 : 1
    6NSA Sofia WPyunik Yerevan W0 : 1
    7Fomget GSK WNeftci Baku W2 : 0
    8ByeKiryat Gat W
    9Cardiff City WAthlone WFC W0 : 4
    10ByeAgram Zagreb W
    11Mitrovica WCliftonville W1 : 3
    12ByeGuria L. W

    Final
    1Racing Luxembourg WRiga FC W
    2Swieqi WMyjava W
    3Ljuboten WPyunik Yerevan W
    4Fomget GSK WKiryat Gat W
    5Athlone WFC WAgram Zagreb W
    6Cliftonville WGuria L. W