Real Madrid vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
80:61
16/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Euroleague - Round 22
  • Referee: Vilius G. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
europeEuropeGo3 Baltic Euroleague
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFranceSKWeek App
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
israelIsraelSport 5
polandPolandPolsat Sport Fight
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
worldWorldEuroLeague TV

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5751
Field goals made
2821
Field goals %
49.12%41.18%
2-point field goals attempts
3433
2-point field goals made
1917
2-point field goals %
55.88%51.52%
3-point field goals attempts
2318
3-point field goals made
94
3-point field goals %
39.13%22.22%
Free throws attempts
1823
Free throws made
1515
Free throws %
83.3%65.2%
Offensive rebounds
118
Defensive rebounds
2520
Total rebounds
3628
Assists
219
Blocks
51
Turnovers
1415
Steals
97
Personal fouls
1922

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
63.6%
Barcelona
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Real Madrid - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.44)

    2.63
    (2.86)
    4.8%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 174.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Barcelona will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 64.3%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -5.5 - Barcelona (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5 - Barcelona (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5 - Barcelona (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5 - Barcelona (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Barcelona (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 4.
    • Real Madrid is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Barcelona is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.
    • Real Madrid is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1770:1707. (average 88.5:85.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 888:847. (average 88.8:84.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Barcelona were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Real Madrid - Barcelona 100:105
    07.11.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 92:101
    06.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 89:91
    27.02.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 96:91
    29.12.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 73:71
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    11.01.2026 BC Andorra - Real Madrid 85:90
    06.01.2026 ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid 69:80
    04.01.2026 Real Madrid - Barcelona 100:105
    02.01.2026 Real Madrid - Dubai 107:93
    Latest results of Barcelona
    11.01.2026 Barcelona - Granada 108:71
    09.01.2026 Barcelona - Partizan Belgrade 88:70
    06.01.2026 Barcelona - Maccabi Tel Aviv 93:83
    04.01.2026 Real Madrid - Barcelona 100:105
    02.01.2026 Barcelona - Basket Zaragoza 100:80
    Euroleague Table
    2025/26
    PlWL
    1Fenerbahce282172310:2217
    2Olympiacos2818102500:2321
    3Valencia2818102516:2401
    4Real Madrid2817112441:2331
    5Hapoel Tel-Aviv2716112307:2217
    6Zalgiris Kaunas2917122556:2403
    7Crvena zvezda2917122524:2473
    8Barcelona2917122458:2434
    9Monaco2816122525:2390
    10Panathinaikos2816122385:2340
    11Dubai2814142443:2453
    12Olimpia Milano2814142365:2391
    13Maccabi Tel Aviv2813152483:2551
    14Virtus Bologna2913162362:2444
    15Bayern2812162257:2331
    16Paris279182402:2474
    17Baskonia289192418:2531
    18Anadolu Efes299202286:2388
    19Partizan Mozzart Bet299202304:2534
    20Lyon-Villeurbanne287212167:2385

          Promotion ~ Euroleague (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Euroleague (Play~in: )