Real Madrid vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Barcelona
26/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
46.3%
Draw
24.2%
Barcelona
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 24.7% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 25.1% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Real Madrid - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.13)
    4.08
    (3.87)
    3.22
    (3.14)
    4%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 0.
    • Real is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Barcelona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 36:42. (average 1.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 1.4:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Barcelona were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:3
    26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2
    12.01.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:5
    26.10.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 0:4
    03.08.2024 Barcelona - Real Madrid 2:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1
    30.09.2025 Kairat - Real Madrid 0:5
    23.09.2025 Levante - Real Madrid 1:4
    20.09.2025 Real Madrid - Espanyol 2:0
    Latest results of Barcelona
    18.10.2025 Barcelona - Girona 2:1
    05.10.2025 Sevilla - Barcelona 4:1
    28.09.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 2:1
    25.09.2025 Real Oviedo - Barcelona 1:3
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona971124:101422
    2Real Madrid870119:91021
    3Villarreal952216:10617
    4Betis944115:10516
    5Espanyol943213:11215
    6Atl. Madrid834115:10513
    7Sevilla941416:14213
    8Elche834111:9213
    9Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Mallorca922510:14-48
    16Valencia822410:14-48
    17Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    18R. Oviedo92074:16-126
    19Girona91356:19-136
    20Real Sociedad81257:12-55

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2