Result
3:2
11/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Cup - Final
- Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 | Unitel |
 Afghanistan | Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh Sports 1, Tolo TV |
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Angola | Z Sports 2 |
 Argentina | Flow Eventos, Flow Sports |
 Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Austria | Puls 4 |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Colombia | Win play, Win Sports |
 Cuba | Tele Rebelde |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic |
 France | Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Action 24 |
 Haiti | Canal+ Sport 1, Tele Haiti |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Malaysia | Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1 |
 Maldives | ICE Xtra, Medianet |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Peru | America TV GO, America TV, Movistar Deportes |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid, Thmanyah |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | M+ LaLiga, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | True ID |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4 |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | ABC app, ABC, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter, Meridiano, Venevision Play, Venevision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (607/660) | 79% (240/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (607/660) | 79% (240/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (140/174) | 60% (36/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 36', 1 - 0, Raphinha ⚽, Fermín (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Garcia G. (A),
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Pedri (A),
- 45+6', 2 - 2, Garcia G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Asencio R. 🟨,
- 57', Garcia E. 🟨,
- 59', Valverde F. 🟨,
- 66', Lewandowski R. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 66', Fermín ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
- 68', Valverde F. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 2, Raphinha ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
- 76', Garcia G. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
- 76', Huijsen D. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
- 82', Camavinga E. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
- 82', Vinicius Junior ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
- 82', Carreras A. 🟨,
- 83', Raphinha ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
- 83', Garcia E. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
- 86', Pedri 🟨,
- 90+1', de Jong F. 🟥,
- 90+3', Lamine Yamal ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barcelona
47.1% | Draw
23% | Real Madrid
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Barcelona - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.29) |
4.13 ↑
(3.66) |
3.22 ↑
(3.11) |
4.7%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Barcelona - Real Madrid?
Users Predictions:
61 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 42 - 68.9%). Real will win (votes: 10 - 16.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 57.3% – 80.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Barcelona (2.24) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- EH -1 - Barcelona (3.28) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Barcelona (3.16) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- TQ, OT - Barcelona (1.61) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - King Abdullah Sports City.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Barcelona could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Barcelona: Araujo R.
(Personal Reasons)
Christensen A.
(Knee Injury)
Gavi
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Real: Eder Militao
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Real: Mbappe K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 42:35. (average 2.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.9:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Real Madrid?
Barcelona has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Barcelona?
Real Madrid has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Real Madrid were as follows:
26.10.2025
Real Madrid
-
Barcelona
2:1
11.05.2025
Barcelona
-
Real Madrid
4:3
26.04.2025
Barcelona
-
Real Madrid
3:2
12.01.2025
Real Madrid
-
Barcelona
2:5
26.10.2024
Real Madrid
-
Barcelona
0:4
Latest results of Barcelona
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
2026Semi-finals| 1 | Barcelona | Ath Bilbao | 5 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | Atl. Madrid | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Barcelona | Real Madrid | 3 : 2 |
