Result
25/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Real Madrid
9.6% | Draw
12.9% | Barcelona
77.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-19.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Madrid - Barcelona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.26 ↑
(5.36) |
7.45 ↑
(6.88) |
1.18 ↓
(1.35) |
8.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 1.
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Barcelona is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 19 matches, and goals 9:69. (average 0.5:3.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:26. (average 0.3:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Barcelona?
Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona won against Real Madrid?
Barcelona has won 13 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Barcelona were as follows:
05.02.2026
Real Madrid
-
Barcelona
0:4
24.01.2026
Barcelona
-
Real Madrid
2:0
15.11.2025
Barcelona
-
Real Madrid
4:0
23.03.2025
Barcelona
-
Real Madrid
1:3
12.03.2025
Barcelona
-
Real Madrid
3:1
Latest results of Real Madrid
Latest results of Barcelona
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Madrid W (11) | Manchester Utd W (6) | 0 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Bye | Bayern Munich W (4) | |
| 3 | Paris FC W (10) | Real Madrid W (7) | 0 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | Barcelona W (1) | |
| 5 | Leuven W (12) | Arsenal W (5) | 1 : 3, 0 : 4 |
| 6 | Bye | Chelsea W (3) | |
| 7 | Wolfsburg W (9) | Juventus W (8) | 2 : 0, 2 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Lyon W (2) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Manchester Utd W (6) | Bayern Munich W (4) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid W (7) | Barcelona W (1) | |
| 3 | Arsenal W (5) | Chelsea W (3) | |
| 4 | Wolfsburg W (9) | Lyon W (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
