Real Madrid vs Juventus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

Champions League - League phase - Round 3
Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Amazon Prime Video, Prime Video Sportsbar IT
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV, Qazaqstan TV
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8, TVM Sport+
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Moldova	Jurnal TV
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 5, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Sport 24

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.81	0.59
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
28	13
Shots on target
10	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	7
Passes
91% (561/618)	81% (253/311)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.81	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
2.55	0.29
Total shots
28	13
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
12	6
Shots inside the Box
17	5
Shots outside the Box
11	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	7
Touches in opposition box
43	14
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
18	10
Passes
91% (561/618)	81% (253/311)
Long passes
63% (27/43)	52% (15/29)
Passes in final third
85% (210/247)	75% (59/79)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	0.46
Throw-ins
12	13
Fouls
10	18
Tackles
69% (11/16)	71% (5/7)
Duels won
53	35
Clearances
21	19
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	8
xGOT faced
0.29	2.55
Goals prevented
0.29	1.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Bellingham J. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
61', Diaz B. 🟨,
62', Thuram K. ↓, Conceicao F. ↑,
74', Guler A. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
74', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Locatelli M. ↑,
74', Vlahovic D. ↓, David J. ↑,
74', Yildiz K. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
84', Vinicius Junior ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
84', Diaz B. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
88', Asencio R. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
88', Cambiaso A. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
65.6%

Draw
19.8%

Juventus
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

21.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Real Madrid - Juventus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.58)	4.79 ↑ (4.26)	6.73 ↑ (5.42)	3.9% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Juventus?

Users Predictions: 120 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 101 - 84.2%). Juventus will win (votes: 8 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 9.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 77.7% – 90.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Real (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Real (1.91) (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Real (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (57 of 60 users predict this - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 70 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 66 - 94.3%). Juventus (votes: 3 - 4.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 1.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 3.
Real is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Juventus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Real has had a series of away games.
In this match, Real is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Foot Injury) Carvajal D. (Red Card) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Juventus: Bremer (Knee Injury) Cabal J. (Thigh Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Juventus: Miretti F. (Thigh Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Real won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Real won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Juventus?

Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Juventus won against Real Madrid?

Juventus has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Juventus were as follows:

01.07.2025 Real Madrid - Juventus 1:0

02.08.2023 Juventus - Real Madrid 3:1

Latest results of Real Madrid

19.10.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Kairat - Real Madrid 0:5 ✺

27.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 5:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Levante - Real Madrid 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Juventus

19.10.2025 Como - Juventus 2:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Juventus - Milan 0:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Villarreal - Juventus 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Verona - Juventus 1:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Monaco (21)	PSG (11)	2 : 2, 2 : 3
2	Chelsea (6)	Bye
3	Galatasaray (20)	Juventus (13)	2 : 3, 5 : 2
4	Liverpool (3)	Bye
5	Benfica (24)	Real Madrid (9)	1 : 2, 0 : 1
6	Manchester City (8)	Bye
7	Dortmund (17)	Atalanta (15)	1 : 4, 2 : 0
8	Bayern Munich (2)	Bye
9	Qarabag (22)	Newcastle (12)	2 : 3, 1 : 6
10	Barcelona (5)	Bye
11	Club Brugge KV (19)	Atl. Madrid (14)	1 : 4, 3 : 3
12	Tottenham (4)	Bye
13	Bodo/Glimt (23)	Inter (10)	2 : 1, 3 : 1
14	Sporting CP (7)	Bye
15	Olympiacos Piraeus (18)	Bayer Leverkusen (16)	0 : 0, 0 : 2
16	Arsenal (1)	Bye

1/8-finals

1	PSG (11)	Chelsea (6)	3 : 0, 5 : 2
2	Galatasaray (20)	Liverpool (3)	0 : 4, 1 : 0
3	Real Madrid (9)	Manchester City (8)	2 : 1, 3 : 0
4	Atalanta (15)	Bayern Munich (2)	1 : 4, 1 : 6
5	Newcastle (12)	Barcelona (5)	2 : 7, 1 : 1
6	Atl. Madrid (14)	Tottenham (4)	2 : 3, 5 : 2
7	Bodo/Glimt (23)	Sporting CP (7)	0 : 5, 3 : 0
8	Bayer Leverkusen (16)	Arsenal (1)	0 : 2, 1 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	PSG (11)	Liverpool (3)
2	Real Madrid (9)	Bayern Munich (2)
3	Barcelona (5)	Atl. Madrid (14)
4	Sporting CP (7)	Arsenal (1)

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2