Real Madrid vs Monaco, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
6:1
20/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.951.55
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
2520
Shots on target
56
Big chances
62
Corner kicks
106
Passes
90% (431/481)87% (440/508)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
3.951.55
xG on target (xGOT)
3.532.01
Total shots
2520
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
109
Blocked shots
105
Shots inside the box
2013
Shots outside the box
57
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
62
Corner kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3633
Accurate through passes
50
Offsides
00
Free kicks
119
Passes
90% (431/481)87% (440/508)
Long passes
58% (30/52)57% (16/28)
Passes in final third
83% (115/138)77% (114/148)
Crosses
25% (4/16)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.131.36
Throw ins
1014
Fouls
911
Tackles
70% (7/10)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3837
Clearances
1516
Interceptions
167
Errors leading to shot
31
Errors leading to goal
12
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
2.013.53
Goals prevented
1.01-1.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 33', Zakaria D. 🟨,
  • 44', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Asencio R. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Mastantuono F. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 55', 4 - 0, Kehrer T. (Own goal), Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 61', Vanderson ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
  • 61', Fati A. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
  • 63', 5 - 0, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Guler A. (A),
  • 71', Mastantuono F. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
  • 72', 5 - 1, Teze J. ⚽,
  • 73', Zakaria D. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
  • 73', Balogun F. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
  • 76', Guler A. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
  • 76', Camavinga E. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
  • 80', 6 - 1, Bellingham J. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
  • 83', Valverde F. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
  • 84', Golovin A. ↓, Michal L. ↑,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
73.3%		Draw
15.9%		Monaco
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.4% 15.4% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.31 ↑
    (1.28)    		 6.05 ↓
    (6.16)    		 8.89 ↓
    (9.4)    		 4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 46 - 82.1%). Monaco will win (votes: 4 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 72.1% – 92.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Monaco (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Monaco (5.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Monaco (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Thigh Injury) Carreras A. (Yellow Cards) Diaz B. (Rest) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Calf Injury) Rodrygo (Injury) Rudiger A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Cabral P. (Muscle Injury) Camara L. (Rest) Diatta K. (Rest) Faes W. (Inactive) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    17.01.2026 Real Madrid - Levante 2:0 ✺
    14.01.2026 Albacete Balompié - Real Madrid 3:2 ✺
    11.01.2026 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2 ✺
    08.01.2026 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Real Madrid - Betis 5:1 ✺
    Latest results of Monaco
    16.01.2026 Monaco - Lorient 1:3 ✺
    10.01.2026 Orleans - Monaco 1:3 ✺
    03.01.2026 Monaco - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    21.12.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2 ✺
    14.12.2025 Olympique Marseille - Monaco 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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