Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
1:2
16/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Pachtova M. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+, Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
greeceGreeceDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainDisney+
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.72
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
81% (324/399)84% (444/529)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.122.99
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1521
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
79
Passes
81% (324/399)84% (444/529)
Long passes
49% (26/53)43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
67% (66/99)72% (91/127)
Crosses
26% (5/19)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.031.04
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
97
Tackles
59% (13/22)78% (14/18)
Duels won
3841
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
168
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.991.12
Goals prevented
0.990.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', Lakrar M. 🟨,
  • 16', Frohms M. ↓, Misa ↑,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Feller N. ⚽, Yasmim (A),
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Redondo A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 2, Ajibade R. ⚽, Karchaoui S. (A),
  • 62', Caicedo L. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
  • 62', Redondo A. ↓, Dabritz S. ↑,
  • 68', Ajibade R. 🟨,
  • 74', Feller N. 🟨,
  • 76', Feller N. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
  • 77', Elimbi T. ↓, Graziani O. ↑,
  • 81', Echegini J. ↓, Jourde F. ↑,
  • 90+1', Kanjinga M. ↓, Leuchter R. ↑,
  • 90+1', Diakite T. ↓, Groenen J. ↑,
  • 90+8', Yasmim 🟨,
  • 90+8', De Almeida E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
31.6%		Draw
24.3%		Real Madrid
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 24.6% 49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 24.2% 50.2%

Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.92 ↓
(3.57)		 3.83 ↑
(3.76)		 2.13 ↑
(1.88)		 7.3%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 9.6% – 70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by PSG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Madrid is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid were as follows:
    16.12.2022 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 2:1
    26.10.2022 Real Madrid - Paris Saint-Germain 0:0
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    08.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain 4:0 ✺
    04.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon 1:0
    27.09.2025 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 6:1
    20.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes 5:2
    06.09.2025 Lens - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    12.10.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 1:4
    08.10.2025 Real Madrid - Roma 6:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Badalona 3:0
    28.09.2025 Tenerife - Real Madrid 0:0
    21.09.2025 Real Madrid - Deportivo La Coruña 4:0
    UEFA Champions League Women Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona W651020:31716
    2Lyon W651018:51316
    3Chelsea W642020:31714
    4Bayern Munich W641114:13113
    5Arsenal W640211:6512
    6Manchester Utd W64027:9-212
    7Real Madrid W632113:7611
    8Juventus W631213:8510
    9Wolfsburg W630313:1039
    10Paris FC W62226:9-38
    11Atl. Madrid W621313:947
    12Leuven W61325:10-56
    13Valerenga W61144:9-54
    14AS Roma W61149:19-104
    15Twente W60334:10-63
    16SL Benfica W60244:11-72
    17PSG W60244:12-82
    18St. Polten W60153:28-251

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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