Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 24
Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DAZN
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Disney+, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
3.10	1.67
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
4	6
Passes
91% (533/583)	91% (487/533)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
3.10	1.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.58	1.18
Total shots
11	13
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked shots
3	5
Shots inside the box
9	10
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
27	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
5	1
Free kicks
9	10
Passes
91% (533/583)	91% (487/533)
Long passes
62% (34/55)	67% (20/30)
Passes in final third
86% (141/164)	82% (102/124)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.04	1.17
Throw ins
9	15
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
50% (7/14)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
29	35
Clearances
8	11
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.18	2.58
Goals prevented
0.18	-1.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽, Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
20', Huijsen D. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 2 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Penalty Awarded),
31', 3 - 1, Valverde F. ⚽, Carreras A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wesley ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
48', 4 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Penalty Awarded),
60', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
60', Rudiger A. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
60', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
60', Herrera Y. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
73', Camavinga E. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
73', Valverde F. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
73', Marin P. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
79', Tchouameni A. ↓, Cestero Sancho J. ↑,
90+2', Turrientes B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
69%

Draw
18.4%

Real Sociedad
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

17.3%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.7%

18.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	5.24 ↓ (5.5)	7.6 ↑ (7.46)	4.3% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Real Sociedad?

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 57 - 82.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 4 - 5.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 73.7% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.25 - Real Sociedad (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.5 - Real Sociedad (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Real Sociedad (7.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Real (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Real Sociedad (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Real (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 19 - 76%). Real Sociedad (votes: 5 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.
Real is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real Sociedad is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Muscle Injury) Kubo T. (Hamstring Injury) Mendez B. (Red Card) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Sucic L. (Groin Injury) Zakharyan A. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Real: Mendy F. (Injury) Rodrygo (Muscle Injury)
We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Real won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Real Sociedad?

Real Madrid has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Real Madrid?

Real Sociedad has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Real Sociedad were as follows:

13.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 1:2

24.05.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:0

01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4

26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1

14.09.2024 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:2

Latest results of Real Madrid

08.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

01.02.2026 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Villarreal - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Real Madrid - Monaco 6:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Sociedad

11.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 0:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Real Sociedad - Elche 3:1 ✺

04.02.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 2:3 ✺

01.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 1:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 3:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	26	21	1	4	71:26	45	64
2	Real Madrid	26	19	3	4	54:22	32	60
3	Atl. Madrid	26	15	6	5	43:23	20	51
4	Villarreal	26	16	3	7	48:31	17	51
5	Betis	26	11	10	5	42:32	10	43
6	Celta Vigo	26	10	10	6	36:28	8	40
7	Espanyol	26	10	6	10	33:39	-6	36
8	Real Sociedad	26	9	8	9	38:38	0	35
9	Ath Bilbao	26	10	5	11	30:36	-6	35
10	Osasuna	26	9	6	11	30:30	0	33
11	Getafe	26	9	5	12	21:29	-8	32
12	Sevilla	26	8	6	12	34:41	-7	30
13	Girona	26	7	9	10	27:42	-15	30
14	Valencia	26	7	8	11	27:39	-12	29
15	Rayo Vallecano	25	6	9	10	23:32	-9	27
16	Alaves	26	7	6	13	23:34	-11	27
17	Elche	26	5	11	10	34:39	-5	26
18	Mallorca	26	6	6	14	29:42	-13	24
19	Levante	26	5	6	15	28:44	-16	21
20	Oviedo	25	3	8	14	16:40	-24	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2