Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

: LaLiga - Round 38
Referee: Melero M. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.49	0.77
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
8	1
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
11	4
Passes
92% (661/715)	89% (386/434)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49	0.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.72	0.35
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
8	1
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
11	4
Touches in opposition box
39	17
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
7	5
Passes
92% (661/715)	89% (386/434)
Long passes
63% (19/30)	57% (17/30)
Passes in final third
85% (248/292)	78% (64/82)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.46	0.47
Throw-ins
11	11
Fouls
5	7
Tackles
64% (9/14)	45% (9/20)
Duels won
29	40
Clearances
10	26
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.35	2.72
Goals prevented
0.35	0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Mbappe K. (Pen),
38', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marin P. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
55', Diaz B. ↓, Vinicius Junior ↑,
56', Tchouameni A. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
70', Turrientes B. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
71', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
71', Gomez S. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
77', Lucas ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
84', Sucic L. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
87', Modric L. ↓, Andres C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
69.4%

Draw
17.3%

Real Sociedad
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

20.2%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)	5.54 ↑ (4.69)	7.22 ↑ (6.73)	4.1% (1.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Real Sociedad?

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 37 - 90.2%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 1 - 2.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 81.1% – 99.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -2.5 - Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 100%).

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).
Real is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.
Real has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Real Sociedad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Bellingham J. (Yellow Cards) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Thigh Injury) Rudiger A. (Suspended)
There will not play in Real Sociedad: Aguerd N. (Knee Injury) Becker S. (Knee Injury) Oskarsson O. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Real won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 2.5:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Real Sociedad?

Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Real Madrid?

Real Sociedad has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Real Sociedad were as follows:

01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4

26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1

14.09.2024 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:2

26.04.2024 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1

17.09.2023 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:1

Latest results of Real Madrid

18.05.2025 Sevilla - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

14.05.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:3 ✺

04.05.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 3:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Real Sociedad

18.05.2025 Real Sociedad - Girona 3:2 ✺

13.05.2025 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 0:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Real Sociedad?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	TSN 2, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Premium
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4, TV3 Tanzania
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online