Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Result
4:1
14/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 24
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDAZN, Disney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
paraguayParaguayDAZN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDAZN, Disney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN, Disney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.101.67
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
53
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
46
Passes
91% (533/583)91% (487/533)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
3.101.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.581.18
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
910
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
51
Free kicks
910
Passes
91% (533/583)91% (487/533)
Long passes
62% (34/55)67% (20/30)
Passes in final third
86% (141/164)82% (102/124)
Crosses
44% (4/9)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.17
Throw ins
915
Fouls
109
Tackles
50% (7/14)77% (10/13)
Duels won
2935
Clearances
811
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
1.182.58
Goals prevented
0.18-1.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽, Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
  • 20', Huijsen D. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 25', 2 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Penalty Awarded),
  • 31', 3 - 1, Valverde F. ⚽, Carreras A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wesley ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
  • 48', 4 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Penalty Awarded),
  • 60', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
  • 60', Rudiger A. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
  • 60', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
  • 60', Herrera Y. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
  • 73', Camavinga E. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
  • 73', Valverde F. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 73', Marin P. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
  • 79', Tchouameni A. ↓, Cestero Sancho J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Turrientes B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
69%		Draw
18.4%		Real Sociedad
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70% 17.3% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.7% 18.5% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.39 ↑
    (1.36)    		 5.24 ↓
    (5.5)    		 7.6 ↑
    (7.46)    		 4.3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Real Sociedad?
  • Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 57 - 82.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 4 - 5.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 73.7% – 91.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.25 - Real Sociedad (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Real Sociedad (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Real Sociedad (7.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Real (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Real Sociedad (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Real (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 19 - 76%). Real Sociedad (votes: 5 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.
    • Real is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Real Sociedad is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Muscle Injury) Kubo T. (Hamstring Injury) Mendez B. (Red Card) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Sucic L. (Groin Injury) Zakharyan A. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Mendy F. (Injury) Rodrygo (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Real Sociedad were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 1:2
    24.05.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:0
    01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4
    26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1
    14.09.2024 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    08.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺
    28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Villarreal - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺
    20.01.2026 Real Madrid - Monaco 6:1 ✺
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    11.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 0:1 ✺
    07.02.2026 Real Sociedad - Elche 3:1 ✺
    04.02.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 2:3 ✺
    01.02.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad 1:1 ✺
    25.01.2026 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 3:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 34291489:315888
    2Real Madrid ✔ 34245570:313977
    3Villarreal ✔ 34215864:392568
    4Atl. Madrid34196958:372163
    5Betis341314752:411153
    6Celta Vigo3412111148:44447
    7Getafe341351628:36-844
    8Ath Bilbao341351640:50-1044
    9Real Sociedad3311101252:52043
    10Osasuna341191440:42-242
    11Rayo Vallecano3410121235:41-642
    12Valencia341091537:50-1339
    13Espanyol341091537:51-1439
    14Elche349111445:53-838
    15Mallorca341081642:51-938
    16Girona349111436:51-1538
    17Alaves34991640:53-1336
    18Sevilla33971740:55-1534
    19Levante34891738:55-1733
    20Oviedo346101826:54-2828

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Villarreal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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