Twente vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Vuorio L. (Fin)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
czech-republicCzech-republicDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+
greeceGreeceDisney+
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainDisney+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.77
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
618
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
74% (160/217)88% (299/338)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.632.08
Total shots
618
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
06
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
1146
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
119
Passes
74% (160/217)88% (299/338)
Long passes
37% (19/51)70% (19/27)
Passes in final third
62% (34/55)81% (114/140)
Crosses
31% (4/13)27% (11/41)
Expected assists (xA)
0.632.37
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
911
Tackles
61% (11/18)55% (12/22)
Duels won
4459
Clearances
3715
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
2.081.63
Goals prevented
1.080.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Ravensbergen J. ,
  • 55', Dabritz S. 🟨,
  • 55', Feller N. , del Castillo A. ,
  • 74', Proost S. , te Brake S. ,
  • 76', Redondo A. , Sanmartin N. ,
  • 83', Yasmim , Andersson B. ,
  • 84', Weir C. , Comendador P. ,
  • 86', Oude Elberink E. , Ivens R. ,
  • 90+1', te Brake S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Dabritz S. ,

Chances of winning


Twente
12.5%
Draw
17.9%
Real Madrid
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.2% 20% 65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7% 19.3% 68.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Twente - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.42
    (6.59)
    5.22
    (4.68)
    1.34
    (1.42)
    7.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Twente - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Twente has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Madrid is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Twente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real Madrid is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Twente won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 1:5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Twente won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Real Madrid were as follows:
    20.11.2024 Twente - Real Madrid 2:3
    13.11.2024 Real Madrid - Twente 7:0
    Latest results of Twente
    09.12.2025 Arsenal LFC - Twente 1:0
    23.11.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:3
    20.11.2025 Twente - Atlético Madrid 0:4
    16.11.2025 Twente - Feyenoord 3:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    13.12.2025 Granada - Real Madrid 0:3
    09.12.2025 Real Madrid - Wolfsburg 2:0
    23.11.2025 Real Madrid - Eibar 3:0
    19.11.2025 Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2