UCAM Murcia vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
80:91
30/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ACB - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6961
Field Goals Made
2928
Field Goals %
42.03%45.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3942
2-Point Field Goals Made
1921
2-Point Field Goals %
48.72%50%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3019
3-Point Field Goals Made
107
3-Point Field Goals %
33.33%36.84%
Free Throws Attempted
2136
Free Throws Made
1329
Free Throws %
61.9%80.6%
Offensive Rebounds
1412
Defensive Rebounds
2224
Total Rebounds
3636
Assists
1514
Blocks
25
Turnovers
108
Steals
47
Personal Fouls
2819

Chances of winning


UCAM Murcia
45%
Real Madrid
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 52.5%

UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(1.98)

1.73
(1.72)
5.7%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: UCAM Murcia will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): UCAM Murcia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 0.
    • Murcia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Real Madrid has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Real Madrid is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1450:1668. (average 72.5:83.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 560:617. (average 70:77.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia 80:75
    03.11.2024 UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid 64:85
    12.06.2024 UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid 73:84
    10.06.2024 Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia 79:63
    08.06.2024 Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia 84:76
    Latest results of UCAM Murcia
    27.12.2025 Granada - UCAM Murcia 79:86
    21.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Valencia 92:80
    17.12.2025 Trefl Sopot - UCAM Murcia 77:93
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    28.12.2025 Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga 91:82
    26.12.2025 AS Monaco Basket - Real Madrid 100:95
    18.12.2025 Real Madrid - Paris 95:90
    16.12.2025 Olimpia Milano - Real Madrid 89:82
    Spanish ACB League Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Real Madrid151321369:123826
    2Valencia151231439:121424
    3Barcelona151141334:119722
    4Murcia151051314:121320
    5Joventut Badalona151051281:122520
    6Tenerife15961312:124818
    7Unicaja15961306:126218
    8Baskonia14951291:125818
    9Bilbao15781255:129414
    10Gran Canaria14681119:115212
    11Breogan15691356:139312
    12Basket Zaragoza15691309:136812
    13Basquet Girona15691311:139112
    14Manresa15691269:135212
    15Forca Lleida15691254:133712
    16MoraBanc Andorra154111247:13808
    17San Pablo Burgos153121346:14346
    18Granada151141212:13682

          Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Primera FEB