Union Berlin vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Union Berlin - Real Madrid
Result
2:3
12/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hungaryHungarySport 1
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 3
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
27.2%
Draw
26.4%
Real Madrid
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 24.1% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 24% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Union Berlin - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (3.61)
    3.64
    (3.94)
    2.07
    (1.92)
    4.3%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Galavisión
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 92 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 12 - 13%). Real will win (votes: 72 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 69.9%86.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Olympiastadion.
    • Real is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Recent matches Union Berlin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Real in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Bonucci L. (Yellow Cards) Doekhi D. (Muscle Injury) Tousart L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Knee Injury) Carvajal D. (Calf Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Vinicius Junior (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Becker S. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Real: Tchouameni A. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Real Madrid were as follows:
    20.09.2023 Real Madrid - Union Berlin 1:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    09.12.2023 Betis - Real Madrid 1:1
    02.12.2023 Real Madrid - Granada 2:0
    29.11.2023 Real Madrid - Napoli 4:2
    26.11.2023 Cádiz - Real Madrid 0:3
    11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce