Union Berlin vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Union Berlin - Real Madrid
Result
2:3
12/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hungaryHungarySport 1
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 3
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
27.2%
Draw
26.4%
Real Madrid
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 24.1% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 24% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Union Berlin - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (3.61)
    3.64
    (3.94)
    2.07
    (1.92)
    4.3%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Galavisión
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 92 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 12 - 13%). Real will win (votes: 72 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 69.9%86.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Olympiastadion.
    • Real is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Recent matches Union Berlin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Real in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Bonucci L. (Yellow Cards) Doekhi D. (Muscle Injury) Tousart L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Knee Injury) Carvajal D. (Calf Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Vinicius Junior (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Becker S. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Real: Tchouameni A. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Real Madrid were as follows:
    20.09.2023 Real Madrid - Union Berlin 1:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    09.12.2023 Betis - Real Madrid 1:1
    02.12.2023 Real Madrid - Granada 2:0
    29.11.2023 Real Madrid - Napoli 4:2
    26.11.2023 Cádiz - Real Madrid 0:3
    11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3