Valencia vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia).

LaLiga - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.44	1.03
Ball possession
40%	60%
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
0	6
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	8
Passes
79% (283/359)	89% (495/558)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.44	1.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	1.40
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
0	6
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
2	1
Shots inside the box
4	7
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
20	20
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
13	10
Passes
79% (283/359)	89% (495/558)
Long passes
40% (21/53)	46% (18/39)
Passes in final third
64% (58/90)	83% (153/185)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.41	0.98
Throw ins
21	16
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
67% (12/18)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
43	45
Clearances
33	28
Interceptions
10	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	0
xGOT faced
1.40	0.00
Goals prevented
-0.60	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 1, Carreras A. ⚽, Huijsen D. (A),
69', Carreras A. 🟨,
72', Pepelu ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
73', Nunez U. ↓, Correia T. ↑,
76', Garcia G. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
76', Jimenez D. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
81', Rioja L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
81', Ugrinic F. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
82', Beltran L. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
82', Guler A. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
88', Copete J. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Diaz B. (A),
90+2', Valverde F. ↓, Cestero Sancho J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Valencia
19.1%

Draw
22.9%

Real Madrid
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

20%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

22.1%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valencia - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↓ (6.11)	4.17 ↓ (4.73)	1.65 ↑ (1.47)	4.4% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Valencia - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 6 - 9.2%). Real will win (votes: 53 - 81.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 72.1% – 90.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Real (1.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Valencia (4.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Real (2.08) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +1.5 - Valencia (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Real (votes: 29 - 82.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.
In recent matches, Valencia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Real is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Real is the team to beat.
There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Hamstring Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Rivero C. (Red Card)
There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Muscle Injury) Vinicius Junior (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Valencia: Correia T. (Hamstring Injury) Rubo (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Real Madrid?

Valencia has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Valencia?

Real Madrid has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Real Madrid were as follows:

01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0

05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2

03.01.2025 Valencia - Real Madrid 1:2

02.03.2024 Valencia - Real Madrid 2:2

11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1

Latest results of Valencia

04.02.2026 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺

01.02.2026 Betis - Valencia 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Valencia - Espanyol 3:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Getafe - Valencia 0:1 ✺

15.01.2026 Burgos - Valencia 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

01.02.2026 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Villarreal - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Real Madrid - Monaco 6:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Real Madrid - Levante 2:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	25	20	1	4	67:25	42	61
2	Real Madrid	25	19	3	3	54:21	33	60
3	Villarreal	25	16	3	6	47:27	20	51
4	Atl. Madrid	25	14	6	5	42:23	19	48
5	Betis	25	11	9	5	40:30	10	42
6	Celta Vigo	25	9	10	6	34:27	7	37
7	Espanyol	25	10	5	10	31:37	-6	35
8	Ath Bilbao	25	10	4	11	29:35	-6	34
9	Osasuna	25	9	6	10	30:29	1	33
10	Real Sociedad	25	8	8	9	37:38	-1	32
11	Girona	25	7	9	9	26:40	-14	30
12	Sevilla	25	8	5	12	32:39	-7	29
13	Getafe	25	8	5	12	20:29	-9	29
14	Alaves	25	7	6	12	23:32	-9	27
15	Rayo Vallecano	24	6	8	10	22:31	-9	26
16	Valencia	25	6	8	11	26:39	-13	26
17	Elche	25	5	10	10	32:37	-5	25
18	Mallorca	25	6	6	13	29:41	-12	24
19	Levante	25	4	6	15	26:44	-18	18
20	Oviedo	24	3	8	13	16:39	-23	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2