Valencia vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
08/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, DAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.441.03
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
06
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
58
Passes
79% (283/359)89% (495/558)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.441.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.40
Total shots
711
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
47
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1310
Passes
79% (283/359)89% (495/558)
Long passes
40% (21/53)46% (18/39)
Passes in final third
64% (58/90)83% (153/185)
Crosses
19% (4/21)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.98
Throw ins
2116
Fouls
1013
Tackles
67% (12/18)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4345
Clearances
3328
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
1.400.00
Goals prevented
-0.600.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', 0 - 1, Carreras A. , Huijsen D. (A),
  • 69', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 72', Pepelu , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 73', Nunez U. , Correia T. ,
  • 76', Garcia G. , Diaz B. ,
  • 76', Jimenez D. , Alexander-Arnold T. ,
  • 81', Rioja L. , Ramazani L. ,
  • 81', Ugrinic F. , Guerra J. ,
  • 82', Beltran L. , Sadiq U. ,
  • 82', Guler A. , Mastantuono F. ,
  • 88', Copete J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. , Diaz B. (A),
  • 90+2', Valverde F. , Cestero Sancho J. ,

Chances of winning


Valencia
19.1%
Draw
22.9%
Real Madrid
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.5% 20% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14% 22.1% 71.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Valencia - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.05
    (6.11)
    4.17
    (4.73)
    1.65
    (1.47)
    4.4%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Valencia - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 6 - 9.2%). Real will win (votes: 53 - 81.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 72.1%90.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Real (1.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Valencia (4.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Real (2.08) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Valencia (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Real (votes: 29 - 82.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.
    • In recent matches, Valencia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Real is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Hamstring Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Rivero C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Muscle Injury) Vinicius Junior (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Valencia: Correia T. (Hamstring Injury) Rubo (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Real Madrid were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0
    05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2
    03.01.2025 Valencia - Real Madrid 1:2
    02.03.2024 Valencia - Real Madrid 2:2
    11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1
    Latest results of Valencia
    04.02.2026 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 1:2
    01.02.2026 Betis - Valencia 2:1
    24.01.2026 Valencia - Espanyol 3:2
    18.01.2026 Getafe - Valencia 0:1
    15.01.2026 Burgos - Valencia 0:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2
    24.01.2026 Villarreal - Real Madrid 0:2
    20.01.2026 Real Madrid - Monaco 6:1
    17.01.2026 Real Madrid - Levante 2:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona25201467:254261
    2Real Madrid25193354:213360
    3Villarreal25163647:272051
    4Atl. Madrid25146542:231948
    5Betis25119540:301042
    6Celta Vigo25910634:27737
    7Espanyol251051031:37-635
    8Ath Bilbao251041129:35-634
    9Osasuna25961030:29133
    10Real Sociedad2588937:38-132
    11Girona2579926:40-1430
    12Sevilla25851232:39-729
    13Getafe25851220:29-929
    14Alaves25761223:32-927
    15Rayo Vallecano24681022:31-926
    16Valencia25681126:39-1326
    17Elche255101032:37-525
    18Mallorca25661329:41-1224
    19Levante25461526:44-1818
    20Oviedo24381316:39-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2