Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga - Round 30
- Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP |
Albania | K-Sport 1, SuperSport 1 |
Angola | Z Sport La Liga |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | TSN+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cuba | Tele Rebelde |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
Haiti | Canal+ Sport 1 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2 |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio |
Israel | ONE Sport |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kenya | Gotv |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
Maldives | ICE Plus, Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
South-america | ESPN South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Taiwan | DAZN |
Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
United-kingdom | LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
Uzbekistan | Zor TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Vietnam | SCTV 22, SCTV Online |
World | Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.70 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
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65% | 35% |
Total shots |
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21 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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9 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 4 |
Passes |
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91% (564/621) | 77% (260/338) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.70 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.28 | 0.59 |
Total shots |
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21 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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9 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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15 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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46 | 16 |
Offsides |
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6 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 10 |
Passes |
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91% (564/621) | 77% (260/338) |
Long passes |
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78% (36/46) | 45% (27/60) |
Passes in final third |
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86% (190/221) | 69% (69/100) |
Crosses |
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23% (6/26) | 71% (5/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.71 | 0.96 |
Fouls |
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10 | 13 |
Tackles |
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59% (13/22) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
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61 | 47 |
Clearances Total |
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7 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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13 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
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0.59 | 3.28 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.41 | 2.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Tarrega C. 🟨,
- 13', Vinicius Junior (Pen),
- 15', 0 - 1, Diakhaby M. ⚽, Almeida A. (A),
- 22', Ancelotti C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sadiq U. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
- 57', Diaz B. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
- 59', Sadiq U. ↓, Mir R. ↑,
- 74', Guerra J. ↓, Pepelu ↑,
- 74', Almeida A. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 74', Aarons M. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
- 77', Modric L. ↓, Endrick ↑,
- 77', Vinicius Junior ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
- 77', Garcia F. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
- 85', Lucas ↓, Guler A. ↑,
- 90+4', Barrenechea E. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Duro H. ⚽, Mir R. (A),
- 90+8', Aarons M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bddjdjwp
Chances of winning
Real Madrid 74.7% | Draw 15.5% | Valencia 9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Real Madrid - Valencia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.29 ↓ (1.35) |
6.25 ↑ (5.57) |
10.01 ↑ (8.42) |
3.5% (4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers) Network on : ESPN Deportes
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Valencia?
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 51 - 89.5%). Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 81.5% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.
- Real is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Valencia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Valencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Real: Carvajal D.
(Knee Injury)
Courtois T.
(Muscle Injury)
Eder Militao
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Valencia: Correia T.
(Knee Injury)
Foulquier D.
(Yellow Cards)
Gaya J.
(Yellow Cards)
Rioja L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Real: Ceballos D.
(Muscle Injury)
Mendy F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Valencia: Ivan Jaime
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Real won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 44:24 (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Real won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:8 (average 2.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Valencia?
Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Real Madrid?
Valencia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Valencia were as follows:
03.01.2025
Valencia
-
Real Madrid
1:2
02.03.2024
Valencia
-
Real Madrid
2:2
11.11.2023
Real Madrid
-
Valencia
5:1
21.05.2023
Valencia
-
Real Madrid
1:0
02.02.2023
Real Madrid
-
Valencia
2:0
Latest results of Real Madrid
Latest results of Valencia
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Alaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Atl. Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Ath Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | R. Oviedo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2