Real Madrid vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
2:0
09/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, Disney+, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+
greeceGreeceDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
spainSpainDisney+, Esport3
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, Disney+, TV12
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineDisney+, Suspilne Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.36
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
819
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
71% (170/241)84% (352/418)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.122.10
Total shots
819
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1634
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
711
Passes
71% (170/241)84% (352/418)
Long passes
45% (25/55)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
59% (40/68)72% (101/140)
Crosses
17% (2/12)27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.81
Throw-ins
2428
Fouls
117
Tackles
47% (8/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
3721
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
2.102.12
Goals prevented
2.100.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Mendez M. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),
  • 32', Peddemors E. 🟨,
  • 40', Lakrar M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Lakrar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Redondo A. ↓, Galvez Luna R. ↑,
  • 56', Dijkstra C. 🟨,
  • 61', Peddemors E. ↓, Bjelde T. ↑,
  • 61', Linder S. ↓, Lattwein L. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Caicedo L. ⚽, Weir C. (A),
  • 73', Dijkstra C. ↓, Bergsvand G. ↑,
  • 73', Bussy K. ↓, Zicai C. ↑,
  • 79', Caicedo L. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
  • 79', Feller N. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
  • 84', Minge J. ↓, Kielland J. ↑,
  • 87', Weir C. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
  • 90', Santiago I. 🟥,
  • 90+8', Navarro E. ↓, Cristobal S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
47.7%		Draw
23.8%		Wolfsburg
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 22.5% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 23.3% 32%

Real Madrid - Wolfsburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.94 ↓
(2.07)		 3.84 ↓
(4.08)		 3.24 ↑
(2.76)		 8.5%
(9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Wolfsburg?
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Real Madrid has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wolfsburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Madrid could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Real Madrid
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    11.11.2025 Real Madrid - Paris FC 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    05.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:1
    23.11.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:3 ✺
    19.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Manchester United 5:2 ✺
    15.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:1
    11.11.2025 Lyon - Wolfsburg 3:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Women Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona W541018:31513
    2Lyon W541014:5913
    3Chelsea W532018:21611
    4Juventus W531113:7610
    5Real Madrid W531112:6610
    6Bayern Munich W531111:13-210
    7Wolfsburg W530212:849
    8Arsenal W53028:629
    9Manchester Utd W53026:9-39
    10Paris FC W52216:7-18
    11Atl. Madrid W521213:587
    12Leuven W51315:7-26
    13Valerenga W51134:6-24
    14Twente W50233:9-62
    15SL Benfica W50143:10-71
    16PSG W50143:11-81
    17AS Roma W50143:18-151
    18St. Polten W50142:22-201

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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