Real Madrid vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
2:0
09/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, Disney+, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+
greeceGreeceDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
spainSpainDisney+, Esport3
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, Disney+, TV12
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineDisney+, Suspilne Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.36
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
819
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
71% (170/241)84% (352/418)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.122.10
Total shots
819
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1634
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
711
Passes
71% (170/241)84% (352/418)
Long passes
45% (25/55)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
59% (40/68)72% (101/140)
Crosses
17% (2/12)27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.81
Throw-ins
2428
Fouls
117
Tackles
47% (8/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
3721
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
2.102.12
Goals prevented
2.100.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Mendez M. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),
  • 32', Peddemors E. 🟨,
  • 40', Lakrar M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Lakrar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Redondo A. ↓, Galvez Luna R. ↑,
  • 56', Dijkstra C. 🟨,
  • 61', Peddemors E. ↓, Bjelde T. ↑,
  • 61', Linder S. ↓, Lattwein L. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Caicedo L. ⚽, Weir C. (A),
  • 73', Dijkstra C. ↓, Bergsvand G. ↑,
  • 73', Bussy K. ↓, Zicai C. ↑,
  • 79', Caicedo L. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
  • 79', Feller N. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
  • 84', Minge J. ↓, Kielland J. ↑,
  • 87', Weir C. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
  • 90', Santiago I. 🟥,
  • 90+8', Navarro E. ↓, Cristobal S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
47.7%		Draw
23.8%		Wolfsburg
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 22.5% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 23.3% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.94 ↓
    (2.07)    		 3.84 ↓
    (4.08)    		 3.24 ↑
    (2.76)    		 8.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Wolfsburg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Real Madrid has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wolfsburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Madrid could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    06.12.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 1:0
    23.11.2025 Real Madrid - Eibar 3:0
    19.11.2025 Arsenal LFC - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺
    15.11.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 4:0
    11.11.2025 Real Madrid - Paris FC 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    05.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:1
    23.11.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:3 ✺
    19.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Manchester United 5:2 ✺
    15.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:1
    11.11.2025 Lyon - Wolfsburg 3:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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