Real Madrid vs Žalgiris Kaunas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
100:99
20/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Euroleague - Round 12
  • Referee: Kowalski M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFranceSKWeek App
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
spainSpainMovistar Plus+
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
worldWorldEuroLeague TV

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6358
Field Goals Made
3535
Field Goals %
55.56%60.34%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5431
2-Point Field Goals Made
3323
2-Point Field Goals %
61.11%74.19%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
927
3-Point Field Goals Made
212
3-Point Field Goals %
22.22%44.44%
Free Throws Attempted
3321
Free Throws Made
2817
Free Throws %
84.8%81%
Offensive Rebounds
113
Defensive Rebounds
2221
Total Rebounds
3324
Assists
1421
Blocks
41
Turnovers
1213
Steals
96
Personal Fouls
2127

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
72.1%
Žalgiris Kaunas
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Žalgiris Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Žalgiris Kaunas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.33)

    3.33
    (3.15)
    5.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 20 - 80%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 64.3%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 7 - 70%). Žalgiris (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 170.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 83, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:78.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Žalgiris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real Madrid is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1657:1538. (average 82.9:76.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 884:808. (average 88.4:80.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Žalgiris Kaunas - Real Madrid 64:83
    12.12.2024 Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas 83:92
    11.04.2024 Žalgiris Kaunas - Real Madrid 62:64
    17.10.2023 Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas 93:79
    23.02.2023 Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas 96:69
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    16.11.2025 Real Madrid - Bilbao Basket 82:70
    13.11.2025 Real Madrid - Panathinaikos 77:87
    11.11.2025 Valencia - Real Madrid 89:76
    07.11.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 92:101
    Latest results of Žalgiris Kaunas
    Euroleague Table
    2025/26
    PlWL
    1Fenerbahce282172310:2217
    2Olympiacos2818102500:2321
    3Valencia2818102516:2401
    4Real Madrid2817112441:2331
    5Hapoel Tel-Aviv2716112307:2217
    6Zalgiris Kaunas2917122556:2403
    7Crvena zvezda2917122524:2473
    8Barcelona2917122458:2434
    9Monaco2816122525:2390
    10Panathinaikos2816122385:2340
    11Dubai2814142443:2453
    12Olimpia Milano2814142365:2391
    13Maccabi Tel Aviv2813152483:2551
    14Virtus Bologna2913162362:2444
    15Bayern2812162257:2331
    16Paris279182402:2474
    17Baskonia289192418:2531
    18Anadolu Efes299202286:2388
    19Partizan Mozzart Bet299202304:2534
    20Lyon-Villeurbanne287212167:2385

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