Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 Nicaragua | NicaSports |
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Aranda H. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Alfaro J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 2, Calero A. ⚽,
- 68', 1 - 3, Talavera W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Madriz
12.9% | Draw
18.9% | Real Estelí
68.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Real Madriz - Real Estelí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.2 ↑
(6.9) |
4.89 ↓
(4.9) |
1.36 ↑
(1.33) |
8%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 1.
- Real Madriz is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Real Estelí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Real Madriz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Real Estelí has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Real Estelí is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Real Estelí will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:37. (average 0.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madriz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madriz won against Real Estelí?
Real Madriz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Estelí won against Real Madriz?
Real Estelí has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madriz - Real Estelí were as follows:
Latest results of Real Madriz
Latest results of Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Esteli | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Sebaco | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Diriangen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 21 |
| 4 | Managua FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Ferretti | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Jalapa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Matagalpa | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 8 | Rancho Santana | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:30 | -17 | 10 |
| 9 | UNAN-Managua | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Madriz | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12:27 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)
