Result
 
                    1:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        21/09/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Mexico | Claro Sports | 
|  Nicaragua | NicaSports | 
|  World | FIFA+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Aranda H. ⚽, 
- 35', 1 - 1, Alfaro J. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 2, Calero A. ⚽, 
- 68', 1 - 3, Talavera W. ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Real Madriz 12.9%
 | Draw 18.9%
 | Real Estelí 68.2%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Real Madriz - Real Estelí Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 7.2 ↑ (6.9)
 | 4.89 ↓ (4.9)
 | 1.36 ↑ (1.33)
 | 8% (10.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 1.
- Real Madriz is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Real Estelí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Real Madriz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Real Estelí has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Real Estelí is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Real Estelí will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:37. (average 0.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madriz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Real Madriz won against Real Estelí?
                    
                    
                        
                            Real Madriz has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Real Estelí won against Real Madriz?
                    
                    
                        
                             Real Estelí has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madriz - Real Estelí were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Real Madriz                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Real Estelí                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Nicaraguan Liga Primera Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Diriangen | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40:13 | 27 | 29 | 
| 2 | Managua FC | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 29 | 
| 3 | Esteli | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 27 | 
| 4 | Sport Sebaco | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27:20 | 7 | 27 | 
| 5 | Ferretti | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 23 | 
| 6 | Matagalpa | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 22 | 
| 7 | Jalapa | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 18 | 
| 8 | UNAN-Managua | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:33 | -15 | 12 | 
| 9 | Rancho Santana | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14:42 | -28 | 11 | 
| 10 | Real Madriz | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)