Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Gazzaniga G. 🟥,
- 5', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Pineiro del Alamo D. ↑,
- 21', Martinez B. ↓, Carmona M. ↑,
- 27', Navarro D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ortuno J. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
- 46', Bustos A. ↓, Bosilj D. ↑,
- 46', Navarro D. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Pineiro del Alamo D. (Own goal),
- 57', Vicente D. 🟨,
- 62', Narro V. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
- 66', Vacas L. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
- 78', Djanbou S. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
- 81', Kopotun V. ↓, Tounkara N. ↑,
- 81', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Aguado T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alcorcón
40.7% | Draw
33.3% | Real Murcia
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Alcorcón - Real Murcia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.54) |
2.74 ↑
(2.61) |
3.52 ↑
(3.34) |
9.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alcorcón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alcorcón won against Real Murcia?
Alcorcón has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Murcia won against Alcorcón?
Real Murcia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcorcón - Real Murcia were as follows:
30.11.2025
Real Murcia
-
Alcorcón
2:1
20.04.2025
Alcorcón
-
Real Murcia
2:1
06.10.2024
Real Murcia
-
Alcorcón
3:1
Latest results of Alcorcón
Latest results of Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabadell | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid B | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | CE Europa | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36:28 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Eldense | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Teruel | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Villarreal B | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | Antequera | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Algeciras | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Alcorcon | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Hercules | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Tarazona | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Murcia | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 17 | Sanluqueno | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Betis B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Sevilla FC B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 13:25 | -12 | 21 |
| 20 | Marbella | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19:32 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
