Real Murcia vs Algeciras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
81
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
159
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
95
Corner kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Gonzaga M. ,
  • 35', Bosilj D. 🟨,
  • 45', 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ruiz V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Djanbou S. , Juan Carlos ,
  • 54', Turrillo I. , Castro O. ,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Garrido D. ,
  • 57', Zenitagoia E. , Sylla A. ,
  • 57', Mier J. , Joao Pedro Palmberg ,
  • 64', Benito P. A. P. , Jorquera Romero J. ,
  • 67', Obeng I. , Rastrojo J. ,
  • 79', Gil O. , Antonio David ,
  • 80', Garcia J. , Arauz C. ,
  • 80', Garrido D. , Aviles J. ,
  • 80', Marquez J. , Adot Barandiaran P. A. ,
  • 90+1', Sylla A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Gonzaga M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Murcia
48.4%
Draw
30.5%
Algeciras
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 30.2% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 29.4% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Real Murcia - Algeciras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.76)
    3.02
    (3.03)
    4.31
    (5.11)
    9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Murcia - Algeciras?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Algeciras (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeciras (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Murcia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Algeciras were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Algeciras - Real Murcia 1:0
    24.05.2025 Real Murcia - Algeciras 2:1
    16.11.2024 Algeciras - Real Murcia 1:1
    07.04.2024 Algeciras - Real Murcia 0:1
    15.10.2023 Real Murcia - Algeciras 1:0
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    18.01.2026 Ibiza - Real Murcia 2:0
    11.01.2026 Real Murcia - Hércules 1:1
    30.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia 3:2
    21.12.2025 Real Murcia - CE Europa 3:1
    Latest results of Algeciras
    18.01.2026 Algeciras - Betis B 2:0
    11.01.2026 Tarazona - Algeciras 2:2
    03.01.2026 Algeciras - Sevilla B 3:0
    19.12.2025 Algeciras - Villarreal B 0:0
    14.12.2025 Teruel - Algeciras 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense321611547:291859
    2Sabadell321513444:202458
    3Atl. Madrid B32169752:341857
    4Villarreal B321312744:261851
    5CE Europa321311844:40450
    6FC Cartagena SAD321310928:28049
    7Teruel3212101025:26-146
    8Algeciras321291133:34-145
    9Alcorcon321014833:29444
    10Hercules3211111035:36-144
    11UD Ibiza3211101134:31343
    12Murcia321191230:32-242
    13Antequera321181337:39-241
    14Tarazona3210101229:34-540
    15Gimnastic321171435:41-640
    16Torremolinos329121138:42-439
    17Betis B32881637:52-1532
    18Sanluqueno32781725:43-1829
    19Marbella32771828:43-1528
    20Sevilla FC B324111716:35-1923

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation