Atlético Sanluqueño vs Real Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
38
Corner Kicks
310
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Gallastegui J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Gomez I. 🟨,
  • 58', Zenitagoia E. , Bosilj D. ,
  • 61', Gallastegui J. , Lorenzo O. ,
  • 72', Barea P. , Moreno F. ,
  • 72', Joao Pedro Palmberg , Juan Carlos ,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Bosilj D. ,
  • 80', Juarez A. , Arruabarrena J. ,
  • 80', Zequi , Morales L. ,
  • 83', Benito P. A. P. , Schalk A. ,
  • 83', Vicente D. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Bosilj D. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Sanluqueño
26%
Draw
31.4%
Real Murcia
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 30.8% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 29.7% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.81)
    2.89
    (3.02)
    2.16
    (2.07)
    9.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Murcia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Murcia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 2.
    • Recent form of Sanluqueño has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Murcia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Murcia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sanluqueño won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia 0:0
    24.11.2024 Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño 0:0
    23.03.2024 Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia 0:1
    09.09.2023 Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño 2:3
    Latest results of Atlético Sanluqueño
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    30.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia 3:2
    21.12.2025 Real Murcia - CE Europa 3:1
    18.12.2025 Real Murcia - Betis 0:2
    13.12.2025 Real Murcia - Sabadell 0:1
    08.12.2025 Cartagena - Real Murcia 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell261211333:141947
    2Atl. Madrid B26128637:251244
    3CE Europa261011536:28841
    4Eldense251011430:24641
    5FC Cartagena SAD26108825:26-138
    6Teruel26108820:21-138
    7Villarreal B25910633:221137
    8Antequera25107830:27337
    9Algeciras25107828:25337
    10Alcorcon26812625:23236
    11Hercules2699830:30036
    12UD Ibiza2698927:24335
    13Tarazona2689922:25-333
    14Gimnastic26961130:34-433
    15Murcia2588924:25-132
    16Torremolinos26711833:35-232
    17Sanluqueno26661423:37-1424
    18Betis B26571425:41-1622
    19Sevilla FC B26491313:25-1221
    20Marbella25561419:32-1321

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation