Result
11/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Chances of winning
Real Murcia
52.9% | Draw
29.9% | Marbella
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Real Murcia - Marbella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.76) |
3.05 ↓
(3.13) |
5.24 ↓
(5.3) |
9.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Real Murcia - Marbella?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Murcia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Real Murcia will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Marbella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Murcia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Murcia won against Marbella?
Real Murcia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marbella won against Real Murcia?
Marbella has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Marbella were as follows:
01.09.2025
Marbella
-
Real Murcia
2:1
09.02.2025
Marbella
-
Real Murcia
1:4
20.10.2024
Real Murcia
-
Marbella
0:0
Latest results of Real Murcia
Latest results of Marbella
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabadell | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid B | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | CE Europa | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36:28 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Eldense | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Teruel | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Villarreal B | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | Antequera | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Algeciras | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Alcorcon | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Hercules | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Tarazona | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Murcia | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 17 | Sanluqueno | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Betis B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Sevilla FC B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 13:25 | -12 | 21 |
| 20 | Marbella | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19:32 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
