Marbella vs Real Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Marbella - Real Murcia
Result
1:4
09/02/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
517
Shots on Goal
38
Shots off Goal
29
Corner Kicks
47
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Yellow Cards
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 28', Olguin M. 🟨,
  • 33', Yriarte J. , Boateng R. ,
  • 39', Fornes G. , Ruiz F. ,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Palmberg ,
  • 45+1', Saveljich E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Bernardo (Own goal),
  • 45+4', Pena M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Mier J. , Vicente D. ,
  • 46', Munoz P. , Duarte J. ,
  • 46', Soto A. , Pena M. ,
  • 46', Pena M. , Ohemeng E. ,
  • 59', Forns I. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Suner P. M. ,
  • 62', Leon P. , Benito P. A. P. ,
  • 66', Duarte J. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Bosilj D. ,
  • 74', Zequi , Hanza D. ,
  • 79', Buron L. , Alcania R. ,
  • 79', Bosilj D. , Davo ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 4, Benito P. A. P. ,

Chances of winning


Marbella
34.4%
Draw
32.6%
Real Murcia
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 32.1% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 32.6% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Marbella - Real Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.84)
    2.82
    (2.83)
    2.75
    (2.54)
    9.3%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marbella won 0.
    • Marbella is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Murcia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Murcia have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marbella - Real Murcia were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Real Murcia - Marbella 0:0
    Latest results of Marbella
    31.01.2025 Intercity - Marbella 0:0
    25.01.2025 Marbella - Hércules 1:2
    19.01.2025 Mérida AD - Marbella 4:2
    12.01.2025 Marbella - Alcorcón 3:3
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3