Result
1:1
11/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Gil O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Gil O. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 1, Selma D. ⚽,
- 86', 🟨,
- 87', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Murcia
54.8% | Draw
27.3% | Marbella
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Real Murcia - Marbella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.76) |
3.35 ↑
(3.13) |
5.14 ↓
(5.3) |
8.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Murcia - Marbella?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Murcia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Real Murcia will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Marbella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Murcia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Murcia won against Marbella?
Real Murcia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marbella won against Real Murcia?
Marbella has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Marbella were as follows:
01.09.2025
Marbella
-
Real Murcia
2:1
09.02.2025
Marbella
-
Real Murcia
1:4
20.10.2024
Real Murcia
-
Marbella
0:0
Latest results of Real Murcia
Latest results of Marbella
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabadell | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 40:15 | 25 | 54 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 51 |
| 3 | Eldense | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 41:28 | 13 | 50 |
| 4 | CE Europa | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:34 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Villarreal B | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Teruel | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Antequera | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:32 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Alcorcon | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Hercules | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | FC Cartagena SAD | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Torremolinos | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 39 |
| 13 | UD Ibiza | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 14 | Murcia | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 26:29 | -3 | 36 |
| 15 | Tarazona | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 34 |
| 16 | Gimnastic | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 34 |
| 17 | Marbella | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 24:35 | -11 | 28 |
| 18 | Betis B | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:48 | -16 | 28 |
| 19 | Sanluqueno | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 27 |
| 20 | Sevilla FC B | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 15:32 | -17 | 22 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
