Result
 
                    3:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        30/06/2025 at  17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Division Profesional - Round 12
 
                                                - Referee: Quenta G. (Bol)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.57 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 36% | 64% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 67% (167/251) | 79% (347/440) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.57 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.29 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 9 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 18 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 67% (167/251) | 79% (347/440) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 46% (36/78) | 49% (37/76) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 57% (52/91) | 66% (93/141) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 18% (4/22) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.58 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 20 | 22 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 75% (9/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 41 | 39 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 27 | 11 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.65 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.29 | -2.35 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
 - 9', 1 - 0, Zeballos S. ⚽, Cuellar Orti R. (A), 
 - 15', Mamani J. 🟨, 
 - 35', Hunacota Terceros R. 🟨, 
 - 36', 2 - 0, Ali L. ⚽, Vallejos Y. (A), 
 - 45+1', Gomez Saca R. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 46', Guillermo A. ↓, Tellez M. ↑, 
 - 46', Ancieta C. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑, 
 - 46', 3 - 0, Gustavo Oliveira ⚽, Ali L. (A), 
 - 51', Prieto J. 🟨, 
 - 56', Gomez Saca R. 🟨, 
 - 57', Mamani J. ↓, Adrian J. ↑, 
 - 60', Cuellar Orti R. ↓, Ali Gutierrez J. D. ↑, 
 - 63', Adrian J. 🟨, 
 - 67', Ali L. ↓, Velasco W. ↑, 
 - 71', Montano J. ↓, Andersen L. ↑, 
 - 73', 3 - 1, Andersen L. ⚽, Chumacero A. (A), 
 - 80', Chumacero A. 🟨, 
 - 80', Thomas J. 🟨, 
 - 83', Vallejos Y. ↓, Calle G. ↑, 
 - 83', Zeballos S. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑, 
 - 89', Bobadilla H. 🟨, 
 - 90', Castillo G. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Real Oruro  51.1% | Draw  27% | Jorge Wilstermann  21.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Real Oruro - Jorge Wilstermann Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.8 ↑ (1.73) | 
			   3.41 ↓ (3.8) | 
			   4.15 ↓ (4.3) | 
			   8.9% (7.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Real Oruro - Jorge Wilstermann?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Oruro (votes: 2 - 100%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Real Oruro will win 
                    (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).
 - Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  - In this match, Real Oruro is seen as the favorite.
  - The teams have not played against each other recently.
                         
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Jorge Wilstermann?
                    
                    
                        
                            Real Oruro has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Real Oruro?
                    
                    
                        
                             Jorge Wilstermann has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oruro - Jorge Wilstermann were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Real Oruro                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 | 
| 2 | The Strongest | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 64:39 | 25 | 55 | 
| 3 | Bolivar | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 57:24 | 33 | 49 | 
| 4 | Blooming | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 41:38 | 3 | 37 | 
| 5 | Guabira | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | -1 | 34 | 
| 6 | Independiente | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 41:48 | -7 | 33 | 
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 | 
| 8 | GV San Jose | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 31 | 
| 9 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 30 | 
| 10 | Tomayapo | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 29 | 
| 11 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 | 
| 12 | Real Oruro | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 25 | 
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 | 
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 23 | 
| 15 | Wilstermann | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19:54 | -35 | 12 | 
| 16 | Aurora | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | -5 | 
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation