Real Oruro vs Universitario de Vinto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro).

: Division Profesional - Round 6
Referee: Mamani R. (Bol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	0.31
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
0	4
Passes
86% (334/387)	84% (384/455)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	0.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	0.58
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
10	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
0	4
Touches in opposition box
13	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
9	9
Passes
86% (334/387)	84% (384/455)
Long passes
60% (37/62)	57% (41/72)
Passes in final third
69% (59/86)	63% (76/120)
Crosses
17% (1/6)	25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.76
Throw-ins
28	23
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
56% (5/9)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
21	32
Clearances
16	2
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.58	1.16
Goals prevented
0.58	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Vera J. (Own goal),
43', Jara A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alipaz J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
46', Jara A. ↓, Wagner ↑,
46', Calicho J. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
46', Zeballos S. ↓, Melgar V. ↑,
54', Ortiz M. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
54', Llano R. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Zurita A. ⚽, Melgar V. (A),
72', Magallanes J. ↓, Alcocer P. ↑,
72', Lencinas J. ↓, Aladesanmi K. ↑,
84', Llano R. ↓, Ali L. ↑,
84', Vallejos Y. ↓, Monsalve Montoya J. ↑,
90+4', Thomas J. ↓, Velasco W. ↑,
90+5', Hunacota Terceros R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Real Oruro
51.6%

Draw
27.3%

Universitario de Vinto
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

25.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oruro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oruro's performance.

Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Vinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oruro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Vinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.14)	3.37 ↓ (3.38)	4.35 ↑ (3.09)	8.1% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Real Oruro will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)
Real Oruro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Uni de Vinto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Real Oruro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Universitario de Vinto?

Real Oruro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Real Oruro?

Universitario de Vinto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto were as follows:

Latest results of Real Oruro

01.05.2025 Always Ready - Real Oruro 1:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Aurora - Real Oruro 2:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Real Oruro - Oriente Petrolero 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Real Oruro 0:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Real Oruro - ABB 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Universitario de Vinto

30.04.2025 Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto 2:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Always Ready 0:7 ✺

18.04.2025 Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Blooming 1:2 ✺

03.04.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Vinto 0:0 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	12	8	4	0	37:13	24	28
2	The Strongest	12	9	1	2	34:19	15	28
3	Blooming	12	6	4	2	25:18	7	22
4	Bolivar	12	6	3	3	29:16	13	21
5	GV San Jose	12	5	2	5	16:20	-4	17
6	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
7	SA Bulo Bulo	12	3	5	4	20:24	-4	14
8	Tomayapo	12	2	7	3	14:16	-2	13
9	Universitario de Vinto	11	3	4	4	14:19	-5	13
10	Academia del Balompie	11	3	4	4	10:16	-6	13
11	Guabira	12	3	3	6	19:29	-10	12
12	Real Oruro	12	2	5	5	15:18	-3	11
13	Independiente	11	2	5	4	17:21	-4	11
14	Nacional Potosi	10	2	4	4	11:11	0	10
15	Wilstermann	12	1	2	9	8:28	-20	5
16	Aurora	12	4	4	4	23:21	2	-17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto?

It is being streamed on channel


Bolivia	Futbol Canal