Real Oviedo vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.100.97
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
61
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
83
Passes
78% (281/362)85% (513/601)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.100.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.71
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
115
Shots outside the box
57
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
612
Passes
78% (281/362)85% (513/601)
Long passes
54% (36/67)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
59% (53/90)74% (119/160)
Crosses
37% (7/19)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.66
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
126
Tackles
54% (13/24)85% (11/13)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
2015
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
06
xGOT faced
0.711.44
Goals prevented
-0.291.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Vidal N. 🟨,
  • 45', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lookman A. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 61', Mendoza R. , Koke ,
  • 61', Sorloth A. , Simeone G. ,
  • 61', Cardoso J. , Griezmann A. ,
  • 65', Fonseca N. , Colombatto S. ,
  • 71', Lopez J. 🟨,
  • 71', Molina N. 🟨,
  • 72', Almada T. , Llorente M. ,
  • 72', Hassan H. , Fernandez T. ,
  • 72', Chaira I. , Ilic L. ,
  • 80', Vidal N. , Ahijado L. ,
  • 80', Reina A. , Cazorla S. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ,

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
19.6%
Draw
27%
Atlético Madrid
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.8% 23.9% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6% 23.5% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (6.4)
    3.54
    (3.96)
    1.79
    (1.54)
    4.5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1 - Oviedo (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Oviedo (3.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Oviedo (1.77) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Oviedo (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (49 of 55 users predict this - 89.09%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.85%97.33%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Atlético (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Oviedo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oviedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Bailly E. (Injury) Costas D. (Muscle Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo 2:0
    04.01.2023 Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    31.01.2026 Real Oviedo - Girona 1:0
    25.01.2026 Barcelona - Real Oviedo 3:0
    17.01.2026 Osasuna - Real Oviedo 3:2
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 31261484:305479
    2Real Madrid31224565:293670
    3Villarreal31194856:362061
    4Atl. Madrid31176851:321957
    5Betis311113745:38746
    6Celta Vigo311111944:40444
    7Real Sociedad311191149:48142
    8Getafe301251327:31-441
    9Osasuna311091237:38-139
    10Espanyol311081337:48-1138
    11Ath Bilbao311151533:45-1238
    12Girona319111133:45-1238
    13Rayo Vallecano318111229:38-935
    14Valencia31981434:46-1235
    15Mallorca31971539:48-934
    16Sevilla31971539:51-1234
    17Alaves31891435:46-1133
    18Elche317111339:47-832
    19Oviedo31691624:48-2427
    20Levante30681634:50-1626

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )