Real Oviedo vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.100.97
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
61
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
83
Passes
78% (281/362)85% (513/601)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.100.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.71
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
115
Shots outside the box
57
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
612
Passes
78% (281/362)85% (513/601)
Long passes
54% (36/67)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
59% (53/90)74% (119/160)
Crosses
37% (7/19)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.66
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
126
Tackles
54% (13/24)85% (11/13)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
2015
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
06
xGOT faced
0.711.44
Goals prevented
-0.291.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Vidal N. 🟨,
  • 45', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lookman A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
  • 61', Mendoza R. ↓, Koke ↑,
  • 61', Sorloth A. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
  • 61', Cardoso J. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
  • 65', Fonseca N. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
  • 71', Lopez J. 🟨,
  • 71', Molina N. 🟨,
  • 72', Almada T. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
  • 72', Hassan H. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
  • 72', Chaira I. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
  • 80', Vidal N. ↓, Ahijado L. ↑,
  • 80', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
  • 90+4', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
19.6%		Draw
27%		Atlético Madrid
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.8% 23.9% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6% 23.5% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.9 ↓
    (6.4)    		 3.54 ↓
    (3.96)    		 1.79 ↑
    (1.54)    		 4.5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 2 - 3.6%). Atlético will win (votes: 49 - 89.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 80.9% – 97.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Oviedo (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Oviedo (3.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Oviedo (1.77) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Oviedo (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Atlético (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Oviedo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oviedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Bailly E. (Injury) Costas D. (Muscle Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo 2:0
    04.01.2023 Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    21.02.2026 Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo 3:3 ✺
    15.02.2026 Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺
    31.01.2026 Real Oviedo - Girona 1:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Barcelona - Real Oviedo 3:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Osasuna - Real Oviedo 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    24.02.2026 Atlético Madrid - Club Brugge 4:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Atlético Madrid - Espanyol 4:2 ✺
    18.02.2026 Club Brugge - Atlético Madrid 3:3 ✺
    15.02.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 3:0 ✺
    12.02.2026 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 4:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona26211471:264564
    2Real Madrid26193454:223260
    3Atl. Madrid26156543:232051
    4Villarreal26163748:311751
    5Betis261110542:321043
    6Celta Vigo261010636:28840
    7Espanyol261061033:39-636
    8Real Sociedad2698938:38035
    9Ath Bilbao261051130:36-635
    10Osasuna26961130:30033
    11Getafe26951221:29-832
    12Sevilla26861234:41-730
    13Girona26791027:42-1530
    14Valencia26781127:39-1229
    15Rayo Vallecano25691023:32-927
    16Alaves26761323:34-1127
    17Elche265111034:39-526
    18Mallorca26661429:42-1324
    19Levante26561528:44-1621
    20Oviedo25381416:40-2417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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