Real Oviedo vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
12/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 35
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.44
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
88% (474/538)77% (198/257)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.710.02
Total shots
107
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2611
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
88% (474/538)77% (198/257)
Long passes
50% (24/48)35% (13/37)
Passes in final third
78% (112/144)63% (43/68)
Crosses
35% (7/20)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.38
Fouls
1515
Tackles
60% (3/5)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4445
Clearances Total
1926
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.021.71
Goals prevented
0.02-1.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Vidal N. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. , Moyano F. (A),
  • 63', Moyano F. , Hassan H. ,
  • 63', Gimenez A. , Jauregi E. ,
  • 63', Pena H. , Nacho ,
  • 74', Cazorla S. , Portillo F. ,
  • 74', Alemao , Vinas F. ,
  • 74', Seoane J. , Cardero A. ,
  • 74', Sanz A. , Borrego C. ,
  • 77', Ahijado L. , Pomares C. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Vidal N. , Pomares C. (A),
  • 86', Dorrio J. , Garcia N. ,
  • 86', Martinez B. , Insua E. ,
  • 90', 3 - 0, Vinas F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
65.8%
Draw
23.1%
Ferrol
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 16.7% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 11.8% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.
  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Oviedo - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.31)
    4.04
    (5.59)
    8.46
    (7.83)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Ferrol?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Oviedo (1.78) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2.
    • Recent matches Oviedo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Oviedo is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Braat Q. (Overload) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knock) de la Hoz C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Ferrol: Correa R. (Injury) Perea L. (Ankle Injury) Yoel (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oviedo: Chaira I. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Ferrol were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Ferrol - Real Oviedo 1:5
    20.01.2024 Ferrol - Real Oviedo 1:3
    20.08.2023 Real Oviedo - Ferrol 1:1
    02.08.2023 Real Oviedo - Ferrol 1:1
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    05.04.2025 Eibar - Real Oviedo 1:1
    30.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Málaga 2:1
    22.03.2025 Granada - Real Oviedo 1:0
    14.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Elche 1:1
    08.03.2025 Mirandés - Real Oviedo 1:0
    Latest results of Ferrol
    07.04.2025 Elche - Ferrol 1:0
    22.03.2025 Málaga - Ferrol 2:0
    15.03.2025 Ferrol - Eibar 0:0
    09.03.2025 Granada - Ferrol 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation