Result
3:0
12/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 35
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (474/538) | 77% (198/257) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (474/538) | 77% (198/257) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 35% (13/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (112/144) | 63% (43/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 49', Vidal N. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. ⚽, Moyano F. (A),
- 63', Moyano F. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
- 63', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
- 63', Pena H. ↓, Nacho ↑,
- 74', Cazorla S. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
- 74', Alemao ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
- 74', Seoane J. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
- 74', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
- 77', Ahijado L. ↓, Pomares C. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Vidal N. ⚽, Pomares C. (A),
- 86', Dorrio J. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
- 86', Martinez B. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 0, Vinas F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Oviedo
65.8% | Draw
23.1% | Ferrol
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Oviedo - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.31) |
4.04 ↓
(5.59) |
8.46 ↑
(7.83) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Ferrol?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Oviedo (1.78) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Oviedo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2.
- Recent matches Oviedo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Oviedo is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Oviedo: Braat Q.
(Overload)
Lemos A.
(Thigh Injury)
de la Fuente P.
(Knock)
de la Hoz C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Ferrol: Correa R.
(Injury)
Perea L.
(Ankle Injury)
Yoel
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Oviedo: Chaira I.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Oviedo won against Ferrol?
Real Oviedo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Real Oviedo?
Ferrol has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Ferrol were as follows:
08.12.2024
Ferrol
-
Real Oviedo
1:5
20.01.2024
Ferrol
-
Real Oviedo
1:3
20.08.2023
Real Oviedo
-
Ferrol
1:1
02.08.2023
Real Oviedo
-
Ferrol
1:1
Latest results of Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
